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Live Odds & Best Bet for Game 5 of NBA Finals

Mike Noblin
Written by Mike Noblin
June 12, 2023
Live Odds & Best Bet for Game 5 of NBA Finals

You can bet that Denver will go all out in Game 5 to try and capture their first ever championship in front of their home fans. Even with a 3-1 series lead, the Nuggets don't want to go back to South Florida for a Game 6.

On the other hand, Miami is just trying to stay alive after being dominated by Denver in back-to-back games. Betting against Jimmy Butler never sounds like a positive strategy, but will he have enough help to put the Heat over the top in Game 5?

Will the Nuggets close it out, or will the Heat stay alive? Get the Live Odds & our Best Bet for Game 5 of NBA Finals right here! Also, be sure to check out our best player prop bets for Game 5. Good luck with your picks!

Live Odds for Game 5 of the NBA Finals

As you might expect, Denver is once again a sizable favorite on their home floor. Most online sportsbooks in the marketplace are favoring the Nuggets by 8.5 to 9 points. The best place to lay the points with Denver is at FanDuel (-8.5, -112), whereas the best shop to bet Miami is Caesars (+9, -110).

As for the total, it opened up at 208.5 before being bet up to its current price. WynnBet is currently the best spot to back the Over (208.5, -110). BetMGM is offering the best price on the Under (210.5, -115).

Best Bet for Game 5: UNDER 210.5

It's easy to overthink things in sports betting, but sometimes the best play is the one with the simplest logic. The Under has cashed pretty easily in 3 of the 4 games in this series. The only time the total went Over was in Game 2, and it took a heroic shooting performance from the Heat for that to occur.

We love this Heat team, but they seem to have finally run out of gas, especially on the offensive end. Miami has only eclipsed the 100-point mark in 1 of 4 games in this series. In Game 4 on their home court, the Heat only shot 32% from three-point range. That kind of shooting would almost guarantee another Under.

Our totals formula predicts that only 204 points will be scored in Game 5. That's enough of an edge for us to pull the trigger on the Under. Look for Jokic, Murray, Gordon and co. to put forth a supreme effort on the defensive end en route to Denver winning their first title.

Trends and Stats to Consider:

  • The UNDER is 29-21 in Nuggets home games this season.
  • The UNDER is 54-46 in all Denver games this year.
  • Miami is 2nd in Points Per Game Allowed.
  • Miami is 30th in Points Scored Per Game.
  • Denver is 5th in Points Per Game Allowed.
  • Denver is 2nd in 3-Point Defense.
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