While the Thanksgiving feast of NFL games is less than a week away, bettors can devour multiple enticing player prop bets from the Week 11 schedule. Which players have the best chance to score Sunday?
We’ll reveal our top five anytime TD props for the NFL Week 11 slate below. Good luck with all of your Week 11 action.
Jahmyr Gibbs (-120) (DraftKings)
After serving as a backup to RB David Montgomery to start the season, Lions rookie Jahmyr Gibbs has made his case to evenly split the workload in Detroit's backfield. The first round selection has run the ball 90 times for 476 yards with four rushing TDs while also catching 31 passes for 200 yards during his debut season.
Although Chicago is struggling this season defensively, the Bears are one of the top defenses against their opponents’ backfield players. Since Week 5, Chicago has allowed only one TD to RBs in a six-game stretch, yielding their lone score to Chargers RB Austin Ekeler in Week 8.
If the Bears are to yield their first rushing TD in more than two months, expect Gibbs to be the one holding the ball. Montgomery – who played with Chicago before signing with Detroit – could struggle against his former team, giving Gibbs the best chance to produce a successful prop bet.
De’Von Achane (+110) (FanDuel)
Miami HC Mike McDaniel delivered positive news this week that rookie RB De’Von Achane will return for the Dolphins’ Week 11 matchup against Las Vegas. In his first four game this year, Achane scored a total of seven TDs (five rushing, two receiving) to ignite the team’s fast-paced offense.
His return will significantly alter the way Las Vegas strategizes against the Dolphins. While the Raiders could prime their run-stoppers against a single backfield threat, a second threat like Achane opens up both players’ opportunities to score Sunday.
Expect Achane to punch one through the Las Vegas defense in his first game back from injury.
D.J. Moore (+175) (FanDuel)
The Bears announced this week that QB Justin Fields will return from his Week 6 injury for the first time against Detroit Sunday. Fields completed 62 percent of his passes prior to his injury, netting 1,201 passing yards and 11 TDs against six INTs to start the 2023 season.
Fields’ favorite target was D.J. Moore. The six-year veteran caught 32 passes from Fields for 582 yards and five TDs when the duo worked together. Moore had caught a TD pass from Fields in three straight contests prior to Fields’ injury, the last TD receptions Moore has on the year thus far.
The Lions have yielded the third-most TDs this season to WRs this season, including allowing four in last Sunday’s 41-38 win over the Los Angeles Chargers. And with the Bears likely to trail late in the game, expect Fields to find Moore for one or more receiving TDs to cover this wager.
Dalton Kincaid (+200) (FanDuel)
Although the Bills’ record is a disappointing 5-5 through 10 games, QB Josh Allen shouldn’t shoulder all of the blame. The veteran signal caller has passed for 2,600 yards and 19 TDs and a league-worst 11 INTs in 2023.
Beyond WRs Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, Allen’s next top target is 2023 first round TE Dalton Kincaid. Kincaid has elevated his role in the Bills’ offense after sharing snaps with fellow TE Dawson Knox to start the season. And Kincaid is developing chemistry with Allen with the TE catching both of his TDs over the previous three-game stretch.
The New York Jets are the league’s worst against stopping TEs from scoring, yielding six TDs to the position in 2023. Included in that total is a Las Vegas score for Michael Mayer in Week 10, snapping the Jets’ six-game scoreless streak for TEs against them. Expect Kincaid to continue adding to Las Vegas’ misery, notching his third TD against the Raiders Sunday.
Kareem Hunt (+270) (DraftKings)
After RB Nick Chubb went down at the start of the 2023 season, the Browns contacted Kareem Hunt. Since returning this year to Cleveland, Hunt has been a scoring machine. The runner has scored six TDs for the Browns, including at least one in five straight games.
Although QB Deshaun Watson is out for the remainder of the season, bettors should continue wagering on Hunt to score. Pittsburgh has allowed seven TDs to RBs this season, including in four straight contests before last weekend’s victory over Green Bay.
Look for Hunt to start a new streak of RBs scoring against the Steelers in this Week 11 divisional matchup.
