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Philadelphia at Dallas: Best Player Props for SNF

Nicholas Berault
Written by Nicholas Berault
December 7, 2023
Philadelphia at Dallas Best Player Props for SNF

After a slew of SNF prop cards ending in a 1-1 split, we broke out of the doldrums in the best way possible during the Packers' upset win over the Chiefs last week. Jordan Love posted his fourth game of the season with three touchdowns and no interceptions, out-dueling Patrick Mahomes to lead Green Bay to victory.

Our prop wagers featured three Chiefs players, and all three came through to fatten our wallets. The violent running of Isiah Pacheco was the best thing KC had going for them Sunday night, cashing our wager on his rush yards with ease as he racked up 110 on 18 carries.

Harrison Butker converted a pair of short field goals in the first half to give us a sweat-free winner on his total as well. That left only Justin Watson's yardage total in question, and the team's third-leading receiver failed to see a target in a game for the first time this season. A Sunday night sweep brings our mark over the last nine weeks to 15-8 in these weekend finale props.

This brings us to a meeting of monumental importance between hated rivals: Eagles vs. Cowboys from Dallas this Sunday night. A Philadelphia victory would give them a two-game lead in the division and rights to the head-to-head tiebreaker over their divisional foe following a 28-23 win at the Linc on November 5.

If Dallas prevails, the NFC playoff picture could become a jumbled mess of four teams with 10-3 records, including San Francisco and Detroit, who are both favored this week.

The Cowboys are favored by 3.5 points in Jerry's World with what now is a sky-high total of 52. Six games at AT&T Stadium have averaged 56.3 points this season, and Dallas scored 86 points in the last two weeks during home wins against Seattle and Washington. We've lined up a prop card for this NFC East clash and will present those plays next.

Dak Prescott OVER 2.5 TD Passes

  • Prescott's splits at home and on the road have elevated his total to be level with only Tua's this week. No 1.5 TD pass number is available for Prescott on the market without paying a significant price.
  • Dak has been a significantly more effective player at home this season. The following are his split comparisons between home and road games in 2023:
  • Completion Rate: 11.8% higher at home (76.3%)
  • TD:Int Ratio: 18:2 at home, 8:4 on the road.
  • Pass Yards per Attempt: Averaging 1.9 yards higher at home.
  • Pass Yards per Game: 309 at home compared to 230 on the road.
  • Philadelphia's pass defense has allowed 27 touchdowns in 12 games, second-most in the NFL.

DeVonta Smith OVER 4.5 Receptions

  • Smith has three straight games with 8+ targets and 6+ catches, his best streak of the season.
  • In two Eagles losses this year, Smith was targeted 11 times each. Philly is a 3.5-point underdog in this road matchup.
  • Smith saw 12 targets and caught eight passes during Philly's road game in Dallas late last season.
  • Dallas' top-five ranked pass defense has allowed over 600 yards passing the last two weeks against the Seahawks and Commanders, the two-highest totals they've allowed this season.
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