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Written by Bill Christy
April 12, 2023
Our 9 Best Bets for 2023 RBC Heritage

Our 9 Best Bets for 2023 RBC Heritage

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After an iconic week at the Masters that saw Jon Rahm get his first green jacket, we turn our attention to Harbour Town Golf Links! Rahmbo will be in the field for this week's RBC Heritage along with fellow PGA Tour superstars Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Patrick Cantlay.

Even though Rahm won last week, Scheffler is listed as the favorite to win this week at most online sportsbooks. Here are Our 9 Best Bets for 2023 RBC Heritage. Best of luck!

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Matt Fitzpatrick -120 OVER Sam Burns (DraftKings)

Fitz is coming off a strong showing at the Masters, where he shot 4 under the tournament, which was good enough to put him inside the Top 10. A nice bounce back after missing the cut at the Players and Valspar.

He is currently 45th in strokes gained on the Tour. Being 27th off the tee and 37th on the greens is what has led him to that success. Here at the RBC, Fitz has had previous success.

Although he missed the cut last year, he had previously finished 4th, 14th, 39th, and 14th in his other 4 starts during that stretch. He faces Sam Burns here, who has been up and down at the RBC.

He grabbed a career-best 9th-place finish in 2019 but followed that up with a missed cut in 2020. Burns placed 29th last week at the Masters and has had some good finishes on the season thus far. As good as he has been, Burns is ranked just 175th in strokes gained on approach shots which could prove costly for him this week.

Matt Kuchar -120 OVER Corey Conners (DraftKings)

Kuchar has made the cut in all 5 of his previous starts here at the RBC. He finished 2nd and 3rd in 2019 and 2022, respectively. Conners has missed the cut here twice in the last 5 years.

He did finish a strong 12th last year but is coming off a tough missed-cut performance at the Masters. Kuchar did not participate in the Masters but did collect a 3rd place finish at the Valero in his last start.

Overall, Kuchar is 15th on tour in total strokes and should be able to get a better finish here than Conners.

J.T. Poston -110 OVER Denny McCarthy (DraftKings)

Poston has been playing solid golf over his last 3 events. He tied for 10th at the Valspar, tied 9th at the Dell Match play, and was a respectable 34th at the Masters.

Throw away his missed cut in 2021, and Poston has finished in the Top 10 in 3 of his last 4 starts at the RBC. McCarthy has not played on Tour since the Dell Match Play, and with a 52nd-place finish there, maybe it was a good time for a break.

McCarthy finished 56th last year here at the RBC and missed the cut in 2020. His track record and recent form have not been close to Poston, so we feel comfortable riding J.T. here.

Justin Thomas -120 OVER Tom Kim (DraftKings)

Justin Thomas had a brutal finish to his Masters start last weekend. He was 2 under heading into the back 9 of his 2nd round but was delayed due to rain. He stumbled to finish the following day and ultimately missed the cut.

Before the Masters, JT was 10th at the Valspar and has a season-best finish of 4th at the WM Open. Here at the RBC, JT has an 8th-place finish in 2020 and a 35th finish in 2022.

This will be the debut for Kim at the RBC, but we are very aware of the talent he possesses. His 16th-place finish at the Masters was the best finish in his last 6 starts.

His previous 5 were all in the middle of the pack of those that played the weekend. We like JT to take his Masters frustrations out on the RBC course this weekend.

Top 40: Billy Horschel

Best Available Odds: +175 at DraftKings

Billy made the cut last week at Augusta but fell outside the Top 40 and eventually finished in 52nd. However, over his last 2 starts here at the RBC, Billy has collected finishes of 21st and 25th.

We believe Billy has the tools to stay hot here at the RBC, and a Top 40 should be doable.

Top 40: Webb Simpson

Best Available Odds: +135 at DraftKings

Webb has had a rough start to the season this year. He missed the cut in 4 of his 1st 5 events. However, in his latest start at the Valspar, Webb shot 4 under for the tournament and finished a season-best tie for 7th.

We believe he can ride that momentum into the RBC, where he has had previous strong runs. Despite finishing 59th last year, his worst finish before that was 16th.

He also won the event outright in 2020. We like Webb here and the momentum he showed at the Valspar.

Top 40: Joel Dahmen

Best Available Odds: +210 at FanDuel

Dahmen has made the cut in 3 straight starts this season and has failed to finish inside the Top 40 in all 3 of those. These finishes snapped a 2-event missed cut streak, so Dahmen is trending in the right direction.

Combine that with the fact that he has finishes of 12th and 16th over the last 3 starts at the RBC, and we like our odds with 2 to 1 here.

Top 40: Maverick McNealy

Best Available Odds: +185 at FanDuel

McNealy has been a roller coaster type of player this season. He started out very hot with finishes of 12th, 18th, 10th, 27th, and 10th in his 1st 5 events of the season.

He then ran into injury and was forced to withdraw from the ATT Pro-Am and then again at the WM Open. At the Valspar, he showed glimpses of what he was earlier this season.

He fired a 4 under opening round there, but after back-to-back 3 overs, his 70 on Sunday was only able to inch him up the leaderboard to finish 36th. We think his value here is worth the play.

Top 30: Shane Lowry

Best Available Odds: -105 at FanDuel

Shane played a respectable 4 rounds at the Masters last week. He finished in a tie for 16th with a -2 final score. Off the tee and on his approaches to the green, Lowry is ranked 26th and 24th on Tour in strokes gained from those positions.

His putting has been a bit suspect, but he can turn that around. We are getting Lowry here at almost even money to finish in the Top 30 when he has past finishes of 3rd, 9th, and 3rd in the last 4 years here at the RBC.

We love this play on Lowry, making it our top play of the weekend.

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