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Dolphins at Jets: Best Player Prop Bets for Black Friday

Mike Noblin
Written by Mike Noblin
November 21, 2023
Dolphins at Jets Best Player Prop Bets for Black Friday

The NFL continues to promote its product on as many days as possible. The Miami Dolphins will head north to take on the New York Jets in what will be the first NFL game ever played on Black Friday. Eating, watching, and betting (see what I did there?) on football is way better than shopping so I'm all for it!

While retailers are counting their money and getting profits, we're focused on the Dolphins at Jets. Check out our best player prop bets for Black Friday. Thanks for reading and enjoy those leftover turkey sandwiches. I know I will!

Tyreek Hill OVER 5.5 Receptions (-130) (BetMGM)

Look, I know that the Jets secondary is a talented bunch. The problem is that Tyreek Hill is a once in a lifetime type of wideout that simply cannot be stopped. The former Kansas City Chiefs star has a median receptions number of 8 this season, which highly favors an Over.

Another thing I like about this play is that Mike McDaniel constantly finds ways to get Hill the ball, even against good defenses. Hill's median number of targets per game this season is 10.5! That just further strengthens our case for the Over.

I know that Sauce Gardner is a stud but think about this. The Jets always line Sauce up on the left side of the field. Guess which side Hill typically lines up on. Yep, the right side.

Need another trend in our favor? No problem! Hill has grabbed 6 or more receptions in 8 of his 10 ball games this season. Don't overthink this one! Play the Over before it moves to 6.5.

Garrett Wilson OVER 4.5 Receptions (-125) (DraftKings)

I think the move from Zach Wilson to Tim Boyle may actually help Garrett Wilson's production. Boyle is nothing special, but he's a veteran QB who has a long-term rapport with Nathaniel Hackett. Even under Zach Wilson's subpar play, Garrett Wilson still racked up a median receptions number of 6.

The former Ohio State star has also grabbed 5 or more receptions in 7 of 10 games this season. I expect a veteran like Boyle to target Wilson early and often in this one. Wilson's median number of targets in 2023 is 10.5 per game.

The matchup should be pretty favorable for Wilson in this game. The Dolphins defense ranks just 25th in opponent completion percentage (67.94%). Miami's secondary also ranks a mediocre 16th in yards per pass allowed.

Lastly, the game script should also improve our chances on this Over. The Jets are a double-digit underdog, so they'll likely be throwing the ball pretty often to try to keep pace with Miami's highly efficient offense.

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