Sunday Night Football in Week 7 could represent the first meeting this season between two teams that collide again at Allegiant Stadium on February 11, 2024, in Super Bowl LVIII.
Philadelphia, the reigning NFC Champions and 2017 Super Bowl winners, welcome the speedy, dangerous Miami Dolphins to the City of Brotherly Love. These teams boast 5-1 records and top-five offenses and are among the top four teams on Super Bowl odds lists heading into this matchup.
Philadelphia suffered their first defeat in Week 6 at the hands of Zach Wilson and the New York Jets during an unsuccessful road trip. The Eagles out-gained the Jets, had fewer penalties, and moved the chains more effectively than their opponent, but turned the ball over four times to give away any chance at victory.
With that recent performance on their mind and a raucous home crowd already crazed with the Red October success of the Phillies, the Birds will hope to gain an advantage from playing this vital game at home.
For Miami, this is another opportunity to prove their offense can score against a high-caliber team. The Dolphins are tops in the NFL in passing and rushing offense, an incredible feat that has propelled them to a net yards per play advantage of 2.8.
That is mind-boggling-ly good. However, an October 1 trip to Buffalo delivered a slice of humble pie to Mike McDaniel and his team.
The Bills beat the Dolphins 48-20 and are the only team to gain more yards than Miami head-to-head this season. Philadelphia presents a similar challenge and has a top-ten defense at its disposal.
The Eagles are favored by 2.5 points, and the point total has slightly dropped to 51.5. The line opened at 2.5, ticked up to three at one point, fell to 1.5, and has found its level back at the opening offer.
Not for nothing, but our SNF props have gone 3-0 in back-to-back weeks. We’ve got another prop card ready for Week 7’s edition and have handicapped those plays ahead.
Tua Tagovailoa OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-140)
Defending the pass has been the weaker aspect of Philadelphia’s defense this season and represents a drop-off from their 2022 unit. Last year’s Eagles’ team allowed the fewest passing yards in the NFL, giving up only 4.9 yards per attempt.
This season, they are 20th in passing yards allowed and 29th in passing TDs against, which does not bode well when facing the Fins. Tua is at least tied for the league lead in passing yards, yards per game, passing TDs, pass success rate, and yards per attempt while on track for possibly record-setting numbers in McDaniel’s offense.
He’s thrown 2+ TD passes in four of six games in 2023 and faces a more vulnerable Philly defense. We’ll take him to go over this total on SNF at FanDuel.
D’Andre Swift UNDER 62.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Philly has yet to face an opponent this season with the offensive weapons and scheme to jump out to an early lead. This has typically allowed them to establish their running game week-to-week, and Swift is the leader of their backfield.
We expect Miami to apply early pressure to Philly on the scoreboard and reduce the threat of the Eagles’ ground attack, which ranks second in the NFL in yards per game. If McDaniel can guide his team to a double-digit lead in the first half, it may put Hurts in a similarly uncomfortable position to last week when he forced bad throws and got picked off three times.
If our prediction is correct, Swift won’t get the touches to reach this mark on Sunday night. We’ll play his under at FanDuel, which is 3 yards higher than everywhere else.
Jason Sanders UNDER 1.5 FGM
Sanders has become an extra-point specialist this season as Miami continues to run the score up on opponents. He’s attempted seven field goals in six games and has connected on five, with three coming in Week 1 alone.
He’s 2-of-4 on field goal attempts since Week 2 and has gone without a field goal try in three of six games this season.
We expect McDaniel to press the gas against the Eagles, which means fewer chances for Sanders to put three points on the board.
