After spending two weeks in Hawaii, the PGA Tour makes its way back to the mainland for the 2024 American Express. Some of the top players in the world will attack PGA West at La Quinta Country Club, the Stadium Course, and the Nicklaus Tournament Course. According to FanDuel, some of the top favorites are Scottie Scheffler (+550), Patrick Cantlay (+900), and Xander Schauffele (+1100).
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H2H: Adam Hadwin (+100) OVER Chris Kirk
Hadwin did fail to make the cut last week after going 22 under and finished 14th at the Sentry. That said, he is a quiet monster here at the AMEX. In 2018 and 2019 he finished 2nd and 3rd respectively.
He followed a 32nd place finish in 2021 with a 25th place finish the following year. And last year, he was back at and grabbed a Top 20 spot (18th). He’s got Chris Kirk this week who was able to calm the adrenaline from winning the Sentry to place 18th last week at the Sony.
So why do we like Hadwin over Kirk here? Well, Kirk has failed to make the cut at the AMEX in 3 of his last 5 starts. He is volatile at times, and we rather play the guy that has shown extreme consistency.
H2H: Si Woo Kim (+100) OVER Tony Finau
Si Woo is a previous winner here at the AMEX (2021). He also finished 22nd last year and 11th the year prior to that. This season, Si Woo shot 20 under which was good enough for a tie of 25th at the Sentry and 8 under at the Sony which placed him 42nd.
He will be matched with Tony Finau who took last week off after coming in 38th at the Sentry. In his AMEX past, he lost matchups with Kim in 3 of the 4 years they both participated.
However, that was not due to poor play but more great play by Kim. We are expecting more of the same this weekend.
H2H: Andrew Putnam (-110) OVER Cam Davis
We are backing our boy Andrew Putnam again after he successfully won his matchup for us last week and finished 13 under and tied for 10th overall. That was a week after the Senty where he had bettered himself in 4 consecutive rounds.
Now, here at the American Express, Putnam has made the cut in 6 straight years and has finishes inside the Top 25 on 4 occasions. He faces off with Cam Davis who finished a modest 30th last week after coming in 52nd the week prior.
In the past, Davis has had a couple Top 30 finishes here and even a 3rd place finish in 2021. However, last year he failed to make the cut which makes him susceptible to poor play.
Top 30 Finish: Si Woo Kim (+120) (DraftKings)
Kim has finished outside of the Top 30 only once in 4 years of competing at the AMEX. In half of his 30 event starts last season, Kim was able to finish inside the Top 30.
Top 30 Finish: Andrew Putnam (+130) (DraftKings)
Only once in his last 5 starts at the AMEX did Putnam find himself on the outside looking in at the Top 30. And last season, he was good enough to get into the Top 30 in almost half of his events played (15 of 33).
Top 20 Finish: Sungjae Im (+110) (FanDuel)
This might be our favorite play of the weekend. Sungjae has absolutely torched this event in the past. His WORST finish in 5 years was last year and that was 18th place.
Outside of that, he has two 12th places, an 11th and a 10th over the years. Im just seems to always be dialed in here and we love getting him at the plus money number here.
