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And then, there were four. That’s right! We’re down to the final four teams in the NBA playoffs, and at this point, it’s anybody’s game.
The Western Conference Finals will tip-off between the Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets tonight. With that in mind, let’s turn our attention to the players, and their individual props, which are powered by Underdog.
Lebron is seen by many as one of, if not the best, basketball player of all time. He’s coming for another ring, and we’re confident that he will be heavily involved in tonight’s contest.
Lebron has eclipsed 14.5 rebounds and assists in three of his last four contests and will look to begin the Western Conference Finals with another standout performance. We like Lebron’s chances to go over his RA total tonight.
At this point, it almost seems foolish to bet against Jokic. Every night, he seems to continue to get better and is the staple of the Nuggets' offense.
To demonstrate how good he has been, the last time that Jokic didn’t go over on 51.5 PRA was on April 29th, the first game of their series against the Suns.
He’s averaging an astonishing 58 PRA over the past six games. Until he has a slow night, we have to ride the hot hand, which is why we’re taking the over on Jokic’s PRA.
When we began looking at tonight’s slate, we expected Reaves’ made three-point total to be set at 2.5. When we saw that it was only 1.5, we knew this was a prop we had to take tonight.
Reaves has made two or more three-pointers in his last three games, including four in game six against the Warriors. We’re expecting tonight’s game to be relatively high-scoring, and as a result, Reaves should have plenty of three-point attempts.
He’s also averaging 39.8% from beyond the arc this season, meaning that he hits threes at a high rate.
Aaron Gordon averaged over 35 minutes per game during the Nuggets series against the Suns. During this series, he was very up and down in terms of efficiency.
Gordon was an impactful scorer in the first three games of the series, averaging 16 points per game, but his rebounding and assists numbers were lacking. Over the past three games, Gordon averaged over 9 RA, and we’re expecting him to be impactful in that way tonight as well.
Because we believe Jokic will have another massive night, look for Gordon to be involved on the boards and set up Jokic with several assists.
Jamal Murray can be a difficult player to place your trust in at times. During the Nuggets’ series with the Suns, Murray averaged 24.8 points per game, which was largely propelled by two games with over 30 points.
Again, we’re anticipating Murray to have a slower game tonight because we believe so heavily in Jokic. Murray could still be impactful to tonight’s game but hit the under on his point total, which is what we anticipate.