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4 College Football Best Bets for Saturday, November 4

Bill Christy
Written by Bill Christy
November 2, 2023
4 College Football Best Bets for Saturday, November 4

Holy Smokes, is it really Week 10 already? It's hard to believe how fast this year is flying by, especially when you consider that we only have a month of the regular season left.

Ready to make some big bucks in Week 10 of college football? Check out our 4 best bets for Saturday, November 4. Good luck!

Best Bet: Notre Dame -3

The Irish are sitting at 15th in the country after falling outside the Top 20 from their loss to Louisville back in early October. They hit their bye week and came out guns blazing. They 1st knocked off rival #10 USC 48-20 and followed that up with a monster 58-7 win against Pitt.

Audric Estime got 41 carries between the last 2 games and scampered for 209 yards and 5 touchdowns. The Irish held Caleb Williams to one of his worst games in his career and went back-to-back games forcing 5 turnovers in each. When the Irish play the way, they have over the last 2 weeks, they can beat anyone in the country.

Clemson’s reign as the superior team over the entire ACC is over. They are just 4-4 on the season and have lose to Miami and NC State in back-to-back road games. Will Shipley left last game with a concussion and his status is still unknown for this contest.

Cade Klubnik has put up decent numbers through the air but getting it into the endzone has been an issue. The once vaunted defense of the Tigers is now allowing 21ppg and ranked 69th in the country.

This spread does seem a bit trappy as the Irish could win this one by 2 touchdowns and no one would blink an eye, yet, the spread is just a field goal. We are going to tread lightly but still backing the Irish.

There is just nowhere on either side of the ball that we see Clemson having an advantage against this ND team. This could be the last stand for the Tigers as the rest of the way gets no easier but we still think the Irish will take care of business.

Key Betting Trends for Notre Dame at Clemson

  • ND is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
  • ND is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • Clemson is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games.
  • Clemson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

Best Bet: Kansas State @ Texas UNDER 49.5

#23 KSU is 6-2 on the year and coming off wins over TCU and Houston where they outscored them by a combined 82-3. Will Howard tossed 5 touchdowns and no interceptions in those games while DJ Giddens took 22 carries for 181 yards and 3 touchdowns on the ground.

They are 21st in scoring with a 37.4ppg average while their defense is holding opponents under 16ppg which ranks them 22nd. Most impressive though, is their work on 3rd down where they rank 9th and convert 55% of the time.

The 7-1 Texas Longhorns will once again be without Quinn Ewers who is still dealing with a shoulder injury. Maalik Murphy looked solid against BYU last week when he completed 64% of his passes and connected for 2 touchdowns to Adonai Mitchell. Jonathon Brooks did well on the ground, scoring a touchdown and finishing with 98 yards on 16 carries. Defensively, they held BYU under 100 rushing yards and 3-14 on 3rd down.

Yes, Maalik Murphy looked good against BYU, but this KSU defense is a different animal. They held Houston’s Donovan Smith to just 88 yards when he was averaging nearly 270 yards per game.

The Texas defense has also been playing at a high level. We believe the Longhorns are going to protect Muphy as much as they can and feed Brooks on the ground. KSU will load the box and force this one into a grind it out type of game. This one should stay low till the end.

Key Betting Trends for K State at Texas

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas' last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas' last 10 games against Kansas State.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas State’s last 5 games played in week 10.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas’ last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas State..

Best Bet: Washington -3

After going 4-0 in dominate fashion, the Huskies have been tested in their 4 games following. 1st, in late September, the Arizona Wildcats played them tough to a 31-24 final in Arizona. After a bye week, the Huskies hosted then #8 Oregon and snuck out a 36-33 victory in game that was back and forth throughout.

They then hosted Arizona State in a game that saw Michael Penix struggle to get going and finish with 2 interceptions and no touchdowns. However, they still pulled out the 15-7 win.

Lastly, they hit the road to Stanford and defeated them in a high scoring affair 42-33. This matchup with USC begins the final and toughest leg of their schedule as they have #18 Utah and then at #16 Oregon State before facing off with in-state rival Washington State.

USC showed cracks in the armor when they narrowly defeated Arizona at home 43-41 back in early October. They then went to ND and got smoked 48-20 and followed that up with a 34-32 heart breaking loss to Utah.

Last week, they traveled to Cal in what they hoped would be an easy bounce back game. Instead, they had to comeback from down 14 early in the 4th quarter. They did so and won 50-49 but the defense looked anything but solid.

They allowed 527 total yards and 29 first downs to the Bears in the win. They will need to be better to slow down Heisman hopeful Michael Penix and the Huskies offense.

This may be our favorite game of the day. The bookmakers are giving no credit to USC and the Trojans have done nothing to give the public faith that they can win this game. This game should have USC as a small favorite in the very least.

Two ranked teams and the home team is the dog? Sign us up for the road favs here. We do not see how USC is going to contain Penix and company here. Even in their narrow win over Cal, it took 4 turnovers from the Bears for USC to win the game. This one could get ugly if the Huskies get up early.

Best Bet: LSU @ Alabama OVER 61

The 6-2 Tigers are on a 3-game winning streak after starting 3-2. Their losses came against #20 Ole Miss and #8 FSU. They are coming off a monster 62-0 win over Army and followed by a bye week. Jayden Daniels is averaging 320 passing yards per game and has thrown 25 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions.

As a team, the Tigers are 5th on 3rd down conversion percentage (57.1%). They are tops in the nation in scoring with 47.4ppg and yards with 552.9 total yards per game. On defense, they are not as intimidating and rank 147th, allowing 26.5ppg to their opponents.

Bama lost to #11 Texas in their 2nd game of the season. Since then, they have rattled off 6 straight wins which includes a 24-10 victory over #15 Ole Miss and most recently a 34-20 comeback win over #17 Tennessee.

Jalen Milroe has seemed to hit his stride over the last 3 weeks where he has thrown 7 touchdowns to 2 interceptions and has been averaging 256 yards per game. The defense has been a bit stronger than the offense and has been holding opponents to 16.5ppg.

We debated taking the Tigers here on the road due to the total being so high. However, we settled on the over due to the way that Milroe has been playing recently and him having the ability to keep up with this top notch offense run by Daniels on the other side.

Key Betting Trends for LSU at Alabama

  • The total has gone OVER in 16 of Louisiana State’s last 21 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana State’s last 6 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Alabama’s last 10 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Alabama’s last 10 games when playing as the favorite.
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