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UFC Fight Night: Live Odds and Our 6 Best Bets

Bill Christy
Written by Bill Christy
September 21, 2023
UFC Fight Night Live Odds and Our 6 Best Bets

Two big-time lightweights will take center stage at UFC Fight Night on Saturday, September 23. Rafael Fiziev (12-2-0) suffered a loss during his last fight, but he's still a moderate favorite over Mateusz Gamrot (22-2-0). Even though Fiziev is two inches shorter than Gamrot, he enjoys a 1" edge in both leg reach and overall reach.

Need helping betting this UFC card? We've got your back. Here are the live odds and our 6 best bets for UFC Fight Night. Good luck!

Prelim Top Play: Mohammed Usman -135 (DraftKings)

This line seems way off to us. Usman is currently on a 3-fight win streak and has some serious power in his hands. He is facing Jake Collier here who loves to stand and strike but has lost 4 of his last 5, including 3 straight losses.

While only 1 of those losses were via KO/TKO, Collier does have 4 of his career 9 losses coming via KO. We believe Usman will need to connect just once with a power shot to easily put out Collier’s lights. However, if this goes the distance, we like Usman even better as his cardio is a bit higher than Collier’s.

Prelim Underdog Play: Hannah Goldy +250 (BetMGM)

Goldy is just 1-3 in her last 4 fights after starting off 5-0 in her career. She has had some trouble with opponents that have strong standup striking, like Molly McCann but here she faces a BJJ specialist in Mizuki.

She has 9 of her 14 wins coming via submission. She won her UFC debut against Wu Yanan via split decision but lost by unanimous decision to Amanda Lemos back in August of 2020.

That was her last fight so rust could be an issue for Mizuki. Goldy has been training with Gillian Robertson who is a bit of a submission artist herself. Goldy should be a live dog here against the rusty Mizuki.

Prelim Top Parlay: Jacob Malkoun & Dan Argueta -120 (DraftKings)

Malkoun is 7-2 in his career and 3-1 in his last 4 fights. He has an incredible take down average of over 7 and almost 50% accuracy. He gets Cody Brundage who will be happy to oblige Malkoun in a wrestling match.

He is on a 3-fight losing streak. As the heaviest favorite, Malkoun will be a solid option to lower the price of Argueta. After a no contest in his previous fight back in June, Argueta is primed to get a finish in his return to the octagon here.

He is getting Chapo, Miles Johns, in this matchup. Argueta is likely to use his strong take down techniques to chip away at Johns and keep his lethal striking at bay.

Main Event Play: Mateusz Gamrot +135 (Fanatics)

Gamrot is 22-2 in his career and 4-1 in his last 5 fights. He has mixed in a submission, KO/TKO, and even both types of decisions in his last 4 wins. His latest loss came against one of the tops in the weight class in Beneil Dariush.

He bounced back nicely by defeating Jailin Turner back in March. He faces Rafael Fiziev in this matchup, who loves to come out hot and exchange strikes early and often. He does tend to get a bit gassed later in the 2nd rounds but has still been successful.

He was on a 6-fight winning streak before he was defeated by Justin Gaethje back in March. We believe Gamrot has the cardio to outwork Fiziev in this one.

Main Card Top Parlay: Bryan Battle & Marina Rodriguez +110 (DraftKings)

Young Bryan Battle has been strong as of late. He has won 4 of his last 5 fights, with his 2 latest coming via KO/TKO. He has got an insane 10-inch reach advantage here against AJ Fletcher who has lost 2 of his last 3 fights.

We believe Battle is far superior than Fletcher in every possible way. Michelle Waterson-Gomez has lost 4 of her last 5 fights. Most have come via decision and once by submission.

Marina has also lost her last 2 fights after defeating Xiaonan and Macenzie Dern. Prior to the Dern fight, she defeated this same opponent (Michelle Waterson-Gomez). She outclassed her then and will do the same in this one as well.

Main Card Underdog Play: Dan Ige +175 (Caesars)

Danny Ige has been looking to put together a nice 3-fight win streak after winning his last 2. Those wins snapped a 3-game losing streak by Ige. All of them came via decision and were against some of the top talent in the class.

He is fighting Bryce Mitchell here who had been rolling before he faced Ilia Topuria and lost. Mitchell has been dealing with injury and seemingly focused on issues outside of the cage. We like taking a hot Ige here over a possibly distracted Mitchell.

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