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NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Odds: Can Any Road Underdog Win Outright?

Earnest Horn
Written by Earnest Horn
January 16, 2024
NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Odds

After a week showcasing two stunning upsets, the field for the NFL Divisional Round has been set. While one team will be looking to advance to its first-ever conference title contest, another team will be looking to make their first conference championship game in more than 30 years.

Below, we’ll reveal oddsmakers’ predictions for the NFL Divisional Round playoff contests. Let's take a look!

Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens (-9) Saturday 4:30pm

The No. 4 seeded Houston Texans (11-7) are looking to advance to their first-ever AFC Championship game. Led by first-year HC DeMeco Ryans, the Texans gained their berth into the divisional round playoffs by knocking off Cleveland 45-14 Saturday.

Their opponent is the No. 1 seeded Baltimore Ravens (13-4), a team looking to advance to the AFC Championship game for the first time in more than a decade. The Ravens enjoyed a bye last week.

The over/under total for this contest is starting at 44 points, the lowest total points mark for any game during the NFL’s Divisional Round. These two teams played back in the season opener for both squads as Baltimore defeated Houston 25-9 on September 10.

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-9.5) Saturday 8:15pm

The No. 7 seeded Green Bay Packers (10-8) advanced to the NFL Divisional Round by walloping the Dallas Cowboys 48-32 Saturday night in the biggest upset of this postseason. Led by first-year starting QB Jordan Love, the Packers’ offense found its rhythm at the right time.

Their opponent is the No. 1 seeded San Francisco 49ers (12-5). San Francisco has advanced to the NFC Championship game in six straight postseasons, dating back to the 2011 NFL playoffs.

The over/under total for this contest is starting at 50 points, the highest total points mark for any game during the NFL’s Divisional Round. These two teams last met in the playoffs two years ago with the San Francisco 49ers upsetting Green Bay 13-10 in Aaron Rodgers’ last postseason appearance for the Packers.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (-6) Sunday 3:00pm

The No. 4 seeded Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-8) advanced to the NFL Divisional Round by surprising the defending Super Bowl Eagles 32-9 in the final Wild Card playoff contest Monday night. Led by QB Baker Mayfield, the Buccaneers have won six of their last seven games.

Their opponent is the No. 3 seeded Detroit Lions (13-5), winners of the NFC North. The Lions advanced by holding off the Los Angeles Rams 24-23, gaining a measure of revenge by beating Detroit’s former QB Matthew Stafford.

The over/under total for this contest is starting at 47 points, a discounted rate based on how well these two offenses have played recently. These two teams have met during the regular season as the Lions beat the home-standing Buccaneers 20-6 on October 15.

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (-2.5) Sunday 6:30pm

The No. 3 seeded Kansas City Chiefs (12-6) advanced to the NFL Divisional Round by holding the Dolphins to their lowest point total of the season, beating Miami 26-7 last week. The Chiefs are looking to advance to their sixth-straight AFC Championship game with a win Sunday.

Their opponent is the No. 2 seeded Buffalo Bills (12-6). Buffalo has won six straight games, including a 31-17 victory Monday over Pittsburgh. Buffalo is seeking to make the AFC Championship game for only the second time in 30 years.

The over/under total for this contest is starting at 46.5 points. These two teams met on December 10th as the Bills outlasted the Chiefs 20-17. This NFL Divisional Round matchup also marks the third time in five years these two teams have faced off during the playoffs.

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