We went 2-1 with NFL player prop picks last Sunday, and we're looking to go on a good run during the 2nd half of the season. Christian Kirk and Mike Evans both sailed over their receptions props in Week 10. Our only loser was on Mark Andrews, who just didn't get as many targets as we were expecting against the Browns.
Check out our favorite NFL player prop picks for Week 11 below. Let's cash these in! Good luck with all of your NFL action this Sunday, folks!
CeeDee Lamb OVER 5.5 Receptions (-142) (Caesars)
Y'all know I hate laying lots of juice with player prop bets, but sometimes it's warranted. It seems like Cowboys QB Dak Prescott is looking Lamb's way all the time lately. Lamb has racked up 44 targets and 34 receptions over the last 3 games.
I don't expect Lamb's hot streak to end against the Carolina Panthers, as they rank just 17th in opponent completion percentage (65.61%). Look for Dallas to continue putting Lamb in the slot with the hopes of getting him matched up against a safety.
Now for some math nerd action! Lamb's median number of receptions this season is 7. The former Oklahoma Sooner is averaging 7.55 receptions per game in 2023 and has gone over this current prop line in 5 of his 9 games this year. Drink the juice and take the Over!
DJ Chark UNDER 2.5 Receptions (-130) (FanDuel)
Yeeehaaaw! Now it's time for my favorite Under of Week 11. Chark was inactive in Week 10 and is nursing an elbow injury. The former LSU standout will play against Dallas, but I'm betting he'll be on a limited snap count.
For the season, Chark's median receptions number is just 2. He's stayed under this number in 4 of his 7 ball games in 2023. Before getting injured, Chark was only targeted 3 times in Week 9 against the Colts.
So, where are all the targets going for the Carolina offense? Adam Freakin' Thielen has garnered a whopping 86 targets so far in 2023. No wonder there hasn't been many opportunities for Chark. Dallas's defense also ranks 5th in opponent completion percentage (59.92%), which should also help our case for the Under.
Romeo Doubs OVER 2.5 Receptions (-145) (Bet365)
Romeo, Romeo...Where for art thou Romeo? He's right smack dab in the middle of our player props card! On a more serious note, Doubs has been the most consistent pass catcher for Jordan Love and the Packers this season.
The former Nevada Wolfpack star leads the team in targets, receptions, receiving touchdowns, and first down catches. When Love gets in trouble (and he does quite often with this banged up O-line), he's usually looking Doubs's way before anyone else. That factor alone makes us like this over quite a bit.
Doubs is averaging a little more than 6 targets per game. All he has to do is turn half of those into catches and we're home free with this prop. You also have to love that the Chargers rank dead last in passing yards allowed and just 25th in opponent completion percentage (68.19%).
