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4 MLB Player Props for Thursday, July 27

Nicholas Berault
Written by Nicholas Berault
July 27, 2023
4 MLB Player Props for Thursday, July 27

Nothing like a clean sweep to cure all that ails us. Our Wednesday prop card wrapped up a 3-0 record just in time for happy hour on the East Coast, thanks to a James Outman second-inning single that cashed our final play.

Colorado’s Peter Lambert struck out two batters across six innings, and Joe Ryan rang up seven Mariners in just 3.2 frames to start the day with a pair of early winning tickets.

Despite only five games on the Thursday schedule, including a doubleheader between the Angels and Tigers in Detroit, we’ve prepared another batch of prop bets with one goal: continue our winning habit this week.

Mike Lorenzen UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts

The Tigers' leading innings eater this season gets an afternoon date with Shoehei Ohtani and the Angels in the first of their two matchups today. Ohtani will be on the bump opposite Lorenzen and face him at the plate two to three times.

Lorenzen has not allowed a run in 18.2 innings in July while getting more ground ball outs than flyouts for the first time in a month all season.

However, the righty has struck out more than four hitters in just three of his last ten starts despite going 5+ innings each. We’ll fade his total today against a team that strikes out near the league-average rate.

Kodai Senga OVER 5.5 Strikeouts

Today will be Senga’s second time facing Washington this season. He went five innings, allowed two runs, walked four, and struck out seven while taking the loss at home against them in late April.

Senga has rung up eight or more batters in four of his last five starts at home and will face a challenge today despite Washington’s poor record.

The Nationals trail only the Guardians in avoiding strikeouts this season, but we like his chances of getting to 6+ Ks regardless. We’ll play the over on Senga’s strikeouts this evening.

Dansby Swanson OVER 1.5 Total Bases

The Cubs begin a four-game weekend series in St. Louis on Thursday, which is music to the ears of Swanson. The shortstop enters the series with seven hits in his last 16 at-bats, including a double and two home runs, and has posted his highest monthly OPS (.920) since April.

Against the Cardinals in particular, Swanson has had his way in 2023. The former #1 overall pick from Vandy has an OPS of 1.424 against St. Louis, with 13 hits, six doubles, and two home runs in 31 plate appearances.

He’s also gotten six hits in 19 ABs (.316) off opposing starter Miles Mikolas across several previous meetings. Take Swanson to extend his good form against the Cards and Mikolas on Thursday.

Yoán Moncada UNDER 0.5 Total Bases

Moncada has struggled to stay on the field since 2021 and recently returned from another stint on the IL on July 25. He played 144 games while posting a .787 OPS in 2021 and has played in the same number of games in 2022-23 combined with an OPS under .630.

ESPN quoted the third baseman as saying, “I feel good, not 100%, but I feel good enough to play,” before returning to the lineup on Tuesday. Moncada has struck out four times in eight plate appearances this week since then.

Cleveland starter Tanner Bibee hasn’t given up more than five hits in any of his last five starts while going an average of six innings per appearance. We don’t expect Moncada to turn it around in this spot.

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