My picks from yesterday went 1-1-1, as Julio Rodriguez was held out of the Seattle Mariners game due to a stomach bug. We missed on Bobby Witt Jr, who went 0-5 for the first time in what seemed like a millennium.
However, the under on Adam Wainwright’s strikeout total gave us the life we needed to come back today with some more picks. Today’s slate also features 15 games, chock-filed with some impressive matchups.
There is a lot on the line in these games, with teams inching closer and closer to clinching their playoff berths. Let’s get into my favorite player props of the day, which can all be found on PrizePicks.
I promise this isn’t just a homer pick from a lifelong Minnesota Twins fan. After returning from the IL, Kenta Maeda has pitched extremely well. He’s had at least six strikeouts in eight of his last ten outings, which is one reason that we’re on his over today.
I understand that the Milwaukee Brewers are surging, poised to make a run at the NL Central. Despite having some great performances at the plate lately, the Brewers do still tend to strike out a lot, near the league’s median in this regard.
With that said, we believe the Twins will give Maeda the run support he needs to be confident on the bump today, even though they are facing Corbin Burnes.
When looking at Seth Lugo’s game log, you might be turned off by the fact that he’s lost four of his last five outings. However, he played the Arizona Diamondbacks in two of those games, and his last start was against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He’s had some tough competition, the main reason for his struggles in the win/loss column.
Today, Lugo and the San Diego Padres take on the Miami Marlins, who are on a bit of a hitting slump. They’ve scored just seven combined runs in their last four games, and haven’t been able to capitalize on their young roster lately.
Lugo has struck out six or more batters in five of his last eight starts, a trend I believe will continue with the Marlins today. As the Padres try and push for one of the NL’s final playoff spots, look for Lugo to put them in a great position to win with a high strikeout total today.
Julio Rodriguez is currently dealing with some sort of cramping and hasn’t appeared in the last two Seattle Mariners games. One might think that this would cause the team to struggle, but it’s been the exact opposite.
They are still crushing the ball, and Teoscar Hernandez has been a big part of that. He’s achieved two or more bases in four of the Mariners' last five games.
If Rodriguez remains sidelined for today’s contest, the Mariners will need to lean more on Hernandez, who is more than up for this challenge.