We split a pair of baseball selections yesterday, and we're ready to roll with Friday's big slate of games. Dylan Cease just barely stayed under his strikeout prop to give us a victory. Unfortunately, we ended up losing the game total by half a run.
Here are 3 MLB Best Bets for Friday, July 28. Let's start the weekend off on the right foot. Good luck with all of your action on the diamond this weekend.
There's an interesting twist with this game involving White Sox starter Touki Toussaint. The young righty was released by Cleveland a few weeks ago and the Chi-Sox picked him up off of waivers. Though Toussaint will be fired up to face his former team, his walk rate of 16.7% is more than a bit alarming.
Cleveland hasn't announced a starter, but it looks like it'll be Xzavion Curry, who is 3-0 this year with a 2.98 ERA. Even if the Guards don't go with Curry, they still have a huge bullpen edge in this matchup. Cleveland relievers are only allowing 4.04 runs per 9 innings, while Chicago's pen is allowing 5.24!
Also, the Guardians offense has been on fire lately. They've scored 19 runs in their last 3 games and we don't think they'll slow down against this depleted Chi-Sox pitching staff. Let's lay this moderate price with the much better ball club.
I've thought all year long that this Arizona team has been playing above their heads. That thought has proven true of late, as the D'Backs have won just 3 of their last 10 games. Seattle has done much better, going 6-4 over that same span.
This one comes down to a good ole starting pitching edge. I trust Logan Gilbert a whole lot more than Tommy Henry. Gilbert has a K-rate of 24.4% and a walk rate of only 4.4% this year. Henry clocks in with a 16.3% K-rate and a walk rate of 9.6%.
The Mariners also have a pretty substantial bullpen edge in this contest. Seattle relievers have an ERA of 3.71, while Arizona's are at 4.57. Look for Julio Rodriguez to keep swinging a hot bat and for the M's to take this one.
Let's see. You're giving me the better offense at a nice juicy underdog price? I'll bite! This Boston team has been on a roll lately. They've won 7 of 10 and they just swept the Braves in a 2-game series.
The Giants are a good ball club and Logan Webb is pretty good. However, Webb was just lit up by the Nationals for 6 earned runs last Saturday. That's not a good sign for San Fran. Webb's hard-hit rate of 45.7% is also a little concerning.
Kutter Crawford, who oddly enough has a nice CUTTER, has a hard-hit rate of only 36.3%. Crawford's expected batting average is also pretty low, at .225. The bullpens are fairly even. Let's take the Red Sox and hope for a big night from Rafael Devers.