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Underdog NFL Week 3 Pick'em Strategy

Aaron White
Written by Aaron White
September 22, 2023
Underdog NFL Week 3 Pick'em Strategy

Looking ahead to Sunday, there are some “must-bet” props on the table with Underdog Fantasy. Expect wideouts Keenan Allen and Adam Thielen to build off huge weeks while Travis Kelce finds the end zone once again!

TE Travis Kelce (KC) OVER 0.5 TDS

The Chiefs head into Chicago with momentum on their side. After pulling away from Jacksonville last week with help from the returning Chris Jones, Mahomes and the offense should dominate a Bears defense that has given up 383 yards per game.

Kelce, who is now nearly fully recovered, is likely to have a standout game, especially since the Chiefs have limited playmaking options among their wide receivers.

WR Keenan Allen (LAC) OVER 13.85 FPTS

Keenan Allen has arguably been the best receiver in the league through two weeks. Although the Chargers are 0-2, Justin Herbert’s WR1 has been a bright spot with 19 targets and 2 touchdowns thus far.

Facing up against a Vikings defense that could be picked apart, expect Allen to recieve double digit targets to get him his 14+ fantasy points Sunday.

QB Lamar Jackson (BAL) OVER 7.5 RUSH ATT

Jackson rushed 12 times last week against Cincinnati in a huge win where he got back to his MVP ways. Last season he hit this mark in 9 out of 12 games, so even with a new offensive coordinator, we’re putting money on the former MVP’s scrambling ability as he should torch Houston for 50+ yards on the ground behind an elite offensive line.

K Justin Tucker (BAL) OVER 1.5 FG MADE

Sticking with the Ravens, Justin Tucker is an under-the-radar bet this week. The elite Kicker hit this mark in 8 out of 9 games before the team’s bye week last season.

While his numbers dropped off with Jackson out, expect the Ravens offense to stall at times in the red zone against an improving defense in Indianapolis.

QB C.J. Stroud (HOU) OVER 232.5 PASS YDS

Stroud has hit this mark in both games thus far, both with positive game scripts with the Texans playing from behind. This should be the case again against the Jaguars potent offense.

While Trevor Lawrence should torch the Texans defense, the Jags defense has lacked discipline and energy at times. Although they held Mahomes and the Chiefs to 17 points, the team is allowing over 250 yards per game.

Expect Stroud to continue to target his three main receivers and gain chunk yardage in the 2nd half against an evolving Jags secondary.

WR Tank Dell (HOU) OVER 36.5 REC YDS

Staying with Houston, Tank Dell has been one of the better surprises for this squad. The rookie out of Houston went for 72 yards and a score last week while becoming one of the favorite options for C.J. Stroud.

Playing out of the slot at times, expect Dell to have a huge 2nd half with a positive game script.

WR Adam Thielen (CAR) OVER 3.0 REC

With Bryce Young ruled out in this game, Andy Dalton should look for his veteran wideout in Adam Thielen in the red zone and third down situations all game. The longtime Vikings wideout put together a fantastic game on Monday, scoring a touchdown alongside securing 7 catches.

With the Panthers looking to the run game and short pass game more often than not, Thielen should become a great flex play, DFS lineup play, and his props should get boosted against a mediocre Seattle defense thus far.

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