Underdog NFL Week 2 Pick'em Strategy
Written by Aaron White
September 15, 2023

Underdog NFL Week 2 Pick'em Strategy

As we dive into Week 2, an exciting handful of prop bets awaits us courtesy of Underdog! Expect Christian Kirk and Tyler Lockett to make a comeback after a rough start, while King Henry reclaims his throne against the Chargers.

QB Patrick Mahomes (KC) OVER 4.0 RUSH ATT

The Kansas City Chiefs find themselves in a hole after a disappointing opening day loss to the fierce Lions. One of the bright spots wasn’t necessarily Pat Mahomes’ arm, but actually his legs.

The two-time Super Bowl champ ran for 45 yards on just six carries. While Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Isiah Pacheco remain banged up, Mahomes has variables on his side to hit the over against a Jacksonville defense that allowed 40 yards on ten carries to Anthony Richardson last week.

In a game that’s advertising T-Law and Mahomes’ arms as the main event, their legs might be the key to this game. Let's play Mahomes to go over this relatively low number of rushes.

WR Christian Kirk (JAX) OVER 38.5 REC YDS

After his worst performance in a Jaguars uniform in Week 1, I’m trusting Christian Kirk to turn the tables against the Chiefs defense. With Chris Jones added to the lineup again, this unit should come with extra “juice” against Lawrence and the Jags.

While Calvin Ridley and Travis Etienne remain the big focus for Steve Spagnuolo’s defense, expect Kirk and Engram to make some big plays for this offense, similar to last season.

The highly paid wideout still received 38 slot snaps against the Colts, so his involvement in the offense should turn to positive output in this battle of AFC giants.

RB Derrick Henry (TEN) OVER 105.5 TOTAL YDS

The Titans vs Saints Week 1 battle proved to be the most physical of last weekend, with both teams getting absolutely nothing to click offensively. However, as we head into Week 2, the Titans know that King Henry is still their focal point and more importantly, that the Chargers defense is prone to letting up big plays.

With Ryan Tannehill’s long ball virtually non-existent, expect Henry to add value in the receiving game as the Chargers attempt to rattle Ryan with pressure early.

With the “King’s” big play ability off a counter or screen, expect him to finish at the top of the RB fantasy ladder this week and bank on his prop bets on Underdog.

WR Tyler Lockett (SEA) OVER 53.5 REC YDS

After a poor Week 1 performance, Lockett looks to dominate the Lions secondary in Week 2. In what I feel will end up being a Seattle win in a shootout, the veteran Seattle wideout is due to have his first big game of the season.

In 2022, he hit this over in 11 of the 16 games. In a destined shootout with an ideal matchup against the Detroit 2nd or 3rd option at defensive back, Geno’s deep target will have a huge week.

QB Desmond Ridder (ATL) UNDER 188.5 PASS YDS

The Atlanta Falcons might be the only team in the league that’s able to win ball games without throwing the football. Playing almost like a military school in college, the team put up 130 total rush yards in Week 1, not to mention both RBs making a huge impact in the receiving game.

As for Ridder, the 2nd year QB just doesn’t look ready to make a huge impact yet. As a game manager, it’ll be difficult for him to hit anywhere near the 200-yard mark especially against above average defensive units.

Green Bay limited Justin Fields to just 189 yards last week, most of which came in garbage time. Expect Ridder to utilize his check downs more so than taking shots down the field against a great Green Bay defense, hitting his “under” on Sunday.

WR Deebo Samuel (SF) OVER 53.5 REC YDS

My favorite prop of the week, Deebo Samuel is a Ram killer. The Swiss-army knife has averaged 101 yards through the air in five career regular season matchups against LA.

While Brandon Aiyuk stole the show as Brock Purdy’s WR1 in Week 1 in Pittsburgh, I’m banking on Samuel to regain that title in SoFi stadium just a week after WR1 Tyreek Hill displayed one of the better performances we’ll see all season.

The Rams defense did a solid job against Seattle but given Shanahan’s plus record against McVay and the way the 9ers offense has been churning since the Brock Purdy takeover, I’m pushing all my chips into the San Francisco offense once again.

Share this Article:

Latest From EatWatchBet

Featured Underdog Bonus for 2023
EatWatchBet Newsletter


Get exclusive access to our weekly picks, promotions, and more.
Invalid email address
linkedin facebook pinterest youtube rss twitter instagram facebook-blank rss-blank linkedin-blank pinterest youtube twitter instagram