While it’s finally time to take the Jokic “under”, look for Domantas Sabonis and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to piece together memorable performances in their crucial Western Conference bouts. Check out the rest of our NBA player prop picks for Tuesday, January 16. Best of luck, folks!
C Nikola Jokic (DEN) UNDER 46.5 PTS+REB+AST
Yes, taking Jokic’s under is extremely risky. However, the big man has struggled to put together his regular statistics against Embiid and the Sixers throughout his career.
The Joker has only hit this mark once in seven games against this Eastern Conference foe and with the big man playing his least minutes per game in the month of January (most likely due to Malone conserving him for the entire season), look for Nikola to struggle to reach this tall prop mark.
F Aaron Gordon (DEN) UNDER 6.5 REB
With Gordon banged up after the Indiana game, where he played 37 minutes, look for Malone to utilize the spark plug in Peyton Watson more in this heavyweight matchup. Not only will this game focus on the elite shot making on both ends limiting rebound opportunities, but Gordon hasn’t hit this over in any game against Philly since joining Denver back in 2021.
C Domantas Sabonis (SAC) OVER 8.0 AST
Sabonis ranks as one of the top five players in the league via most advanced statistical websites this season. That should shine through against Phoenix, who have allowed 16 3PM per game over their last three and have struggled to slow down high-octane offenses all season long.
Coming off a 15-assist outing against Milwaukee, look for Domantas to hit this mark for the 2nd time in 3 games against the Suns this season.
F Kevin Durant (PHX) UNDER 11.5 REB+AST
With Booker and Beal active against the Kings, it’s difficult to envision a game in which Durant becomes the ultimate playmaker. He’s hit this under in four of the last five while progressing as a 3-point shooter next to the two playmakers in Booker and Beal.
With Nurkic most likely starting at the 5-spot, rebounds will be taken away from Durant early on, with the big averaging over 11 RPG over his last five.
G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) OVER 30.5 PTS
This is Shai’s game. The MVP candidate returns to Los Angeles with a vengeance as the 27-12 Thunder take on the 25-14 Clippers. A primetime game on TNT features these two squads that are red hot, winning a combined 15 of their last 20 games.
With an over/under of 236.5, look for these teams to go back and forth on offense with Shai getting up his 20 shots and heading to the line at will. With the young Thunder able to shock the NBA by winning this game, Gilgeous-Alexander won’t go down without swinging for the fences and taking 25-30 shots in this one.
