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Sterling vs O'Malley: Our 6 Best Bets for UFC 292

Bill Christy
Written by Bill Christy
August 18, 2023
Sterling vs O'Malley Our 6 Best Bets for UFC 292

UFC finally makes its way back to Boston on Saturday, August 19. With a compelling card and two title belts on the line, it's sure to be an entertaining evening for fight fans.

Need help betting Sterling vs. O'Malley? We got your back! Check out our 6 best bets for UFC 292 below. Good luck with your action!

Prelim Top Play: Silva/Moroz OVER 2.5 (-124)

Silva has finished all 7 of her opponents in the 1st round except for 1 during her current 7-game winning streak. She is facing Maryna Moroz who has yet to be submitted in her career and has 6 of her 11 wins coming via submission.

Both women have strong BJJ backgrounds which could lead to an entertaining grappling match. In the end, we believe this one goes the distance but will take the 2.5 at a bit higher juice.

Prelim Card Underdog Play: Chris Weidman (+210)

Chris “The All-American” Weidman is finally back after a gruesome leg injury that he suffered against Uriah Hall back in April of 2021. He is getting an interesting matchup here against Brad Tavares.

While Tavares has KO power, he is coming off back-to-back losses to Bruno Silva and Dricus Du Plessis. We believe Weidman is going to go back to his foundation of wrestling in this matchup.

He might be tentative to stand and strike and take any type of leg kicks. If he had not had this injury, he may have been favored in this matchup so we must take the value given here.

Prelim Card Top Parlay: Andre Petroski/Gregory Rodrigues (-120)

Robocop Rodrigues faces Denis Tiuliulin who has lost 3 of his last 5 fights. All 3 losses were via submission but in this one, he is going to face one of the hardest hitting Middleweights in the world.

We believe Robocop is going to dominate the standup and get in close to make Denis uncomfortable with constant pressure. Petroski has won 4 straight fights with 3 being finishes. He gets Meerschaert who is coming off a devastating KO loss to Joe Pyfer.

It was one of those Kos that usually stay with a fighter for quite a while. This happened in April less than 4 months ago and we believe he is going to be hesitant in this one which allow Petroski to take advantage.

Main Event Play: Aljamain Sterling by Submission (+195)

Sterling is on a 9-fight winning streak and has defended his title successfully 4 times now. He handled Henry Cejudo in his last fight and won by split decision. The main thing from that fight that we learned is that Sterling can take down anyone in the division.

Cejudo is an Olympic wrestler and was unable to keep from getting put on his back. Now, if O’Malley connects with one of his haymakers, there is a possibility that he gets a win, but we believe there is a much stronger chance that he gets taken down.

Once he is taken down, Sterling is a master at transitioning to the back and getting a choke. That is exactly how we see this one finishing.

Main Card Top Play: Marlon Vera (-185)

Chito Vera is coming off a tough split decision loss to Corey Sandhagen. While a loss is never a good thing, the fact he stood toe to toe with one of the best in the division shows he is right up there in the rankings.

He is only 30 and seems to be entering his prime. Here, he faces 36-year-old Pedro Munhoz who lost 2 of his last 4 with a no decision against O’Malley.

He did just defeated Chris Gutierrez by unanimous decision but the level that Chito brings is much higher than Gutierrez.

Main Card Top Underdog: Amanda Lemos (+280)

People are still undervaluing Lemos. She may have the best boxing in the division and while Weili can throw, she is going to have a really hard time standing with Lemos in this one.

I do not believe she has felt the power that Lemos has in her strikes. The value here is just too much to turn down and taking Lemos by KO could even be worth a sprinkle.

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