Is it Monday yet? Week 4 of the NFL season wraps up with an NFC West vs. NFC East matchup on Monday Night Football. The Seahawks (2-1) will head east to take on the New York Giants (1-2).
Oddsmakers are expecting a tightly contested game, as lots of online sportsbooks are pricing this game at around a pick'em. With two bad pass defenses, this game could be fairly high scoring. The total is currently sitting at 47.5 at most shops.
Need help finding value on Monday Night Football? We can help! Here are the best player prop bets for Seahawks at Giants. Enjoy the game and good luck!
Tyler Lockett OVER 51.5 Receiving Yards (BetMGM)
I think we're getting a bargain with this number just because Lockett has had a couple of subpar performances this season. However, the wily old veteran went off against the Lions in Week 2 with 8 catches for 59 yards and 2 touchdowns. That's the kind of output I'm expecting from Lockett against this awful Giants secondary.
Lockett's median receiving yardage in 2022 was 65, so it's easy to see why I think this price is too cheap. I get that DK Metcalf and rookie Jaxson Smith-Njigba will get their share of targets, but Lockett actually leads the team in targets this season with 21. The former Kansas State standout has been targeted 17 times over the past 2 weeks.
Back to the G-Men secondary, they rank 30th in defensive EPA per dropback and 21st in dropback success rate allowed. Geno Smith shouldn't have any trouble lighting them up, and we project Lockett's receiving yardage to wind up in the 70s. Let's play the Over!
Darius Slayton OVER 38.5 Receiving Yards (DraftKings)
I must be a glutton for punishment! I played Slayton Over 32.5 receiving yards against the 49ers last week and he ended up with (you guessed it) 32 yards! What a bummer that was! As I've said before, being a successful sports bettor requires having a short-term memory and not holding grudges.
Slayton's median last season was 63 receiving yards and that's right around where I project him to land against this depleted Seahawks secondary. Slayton racked up 66 receiving yards in his game against Seattle last season.
Daniel Jones has targeted Slayton 17 times this season, which is more than anyone else on the team. Another thing we have to consider is who the Giants have played so far.
In 2 of their 3 games, the Giants have played two of the top defenses in the league (Dallas and San Fran). The Giants offense has a whole should see some much-needed class relief against this injured Seahawks secondary. Seattle could be without Jamal Adams and Coby Bryant in this one, which makes me like this Over even more!
Kenneth Walker UNDER 11.5 Receiving Yards (BetMGM)
How about a scary one to wrap things up for Monday Night? Sure, Walker is averaging over 24 receiving yards per game this season and that's why I had to take a Tums while hitting submit on this play (lol)! Nevertheless, I feel the value here is with the Under on Mr. Walker.
Walker's receiving yardage per game has been inflated because of last week's 59 yards against the banged-up Panthers defense. He's stayed under 11.5 receiving yards in 2 of 3 games this season. When you combined that with 15 games in 2022, Walker has stayed Under this total in 11 of his 18 regular season games as a pro.
Need a little more encouragement to take the Under? In Seattle's game against New York last season, Walker only caught one pass for 1 yard. Look for Geno Smith to focus on getting the ball to Metcalf, Lockett, and Smith-Njigba in this one. Take the Under!
Matt Breida UNDER 45.5 Rushing Yards (PointsBet)
I just can't resist adding this Under with Matt Breida, especially since offensive tackle Andrew Thomas has been announced as OUT for this game with a hamstring injury. Look for the G-Men to pass the ball quite a bit to try to keep pace in this one, which will reduce Breida's number of carries.
When New York does decide to run, it could be tough sledding. Seattle ranks 2nd in the league in yards per rush allowed (2.9). The Giants only gain 4 yards per carry, which ranks 21st.
Seattle also ranks a respectable 6th in rushing yards allowed per game (79.3). Head coach Brian Daboll knows that the way to beat the Seahawks is through the air. Play Breida Under!
