Sometimes, the folks at EatWatchBet make obvious choices for their betting advice, giving readers affirmation that their best hunches should pan out and pay out each Sunday. More than 50% of the time this year, they have.
At other times, making an under-the-radar pick makes more sense. And that’s what you’ll get today from our predictions of the best anytime TD bets for the NFL’s Week 4 slate of games.
Here are “four sure” under-the-radar underdog bets for Sunday, a four-pack of odds you can parlay at +2118 odds with a payout of $1,109 on a $50 bet!
Picking up where they left off last season, Philadelphia has rolled through the start of the 2023 season. The Eagles are one of three undefeated teams in the league behind their rushing attack, ranking second in the NFL with 557 rushing yards. In all, Philadelphia’s offense cranks out over 400 yards per outing.
Their passing game, however, has had a somewhat disappointing start to the year. Despite Jalen Hurts connecting on nearly 68 percent of his passes for 213 yards per contest, the QB has tossed only three TDs while being picked off three times.
No one has felt this more than A.J. Brown. After picking up nearly 1,500 yards receiving and 11 TDs in 2022, Brown has a pedestrian 239 yards on 20 catches this season. Brown is Hurts’ favorite option, earning 10 targets on average through three games. Expect Brown to continue to earn these targets and get into the endzone Sunday against the Commanders.
After posting back-to-back impressive seasons in 2021 and 2022, Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow has been flat to start the 2023 journey. Burrow is completing only 55 percent of his throws for 563 yards and two TDs in his first three games. The Bengals – who had aspirations of another deep playoff run – need to revive the first-round draft pick to turn around their season.
To start that revival, Burrow and his Cincinnati teammates head south to take on the Tennessee Titans. The Titans have yielded the sixth-most passing yards through three games, allowing QBs to throw five TDs compared against only one INT. With Tennessee’s rushing defense fourth in the league, expect the Bengals to be a pass-first offense Sunday.
Who better to benefit from a renewed passing effort than third year WR Ja’Marr Chase? Chase leads the team with 32 targets, nabbing 22 passes for 211 yards. Despite the workload, the Bengals WR has yet to find paydirt this season. That should change Sunday when Chase and Burrow both break out of their season-long slog.
You’re probably wondering if this is a 2022 Week 4 list of anytime TD scorers. And for good reason. Predicting Las Vegas – who has yet to punch a single rushing TD in this year – to have any backfield member breakthrough in Week 4 may seem like a stretch. But to pick RB Josh Jacobs is to settle on a player who isn’t setting the world on fire with 200 yards on 55 touches.
Yet, here we are. The cure to most offensive woes is lining up against the Los Angeles Chargers, a team surrendering the most passing yards in the league in 2023 as well as allowing over 110 yards rushing per game. The Chargers have yielded an average of 29 points during their 1-2 start to the season.
With Jimmy Garoppolo questionable for Sunday, expect whichever QB lines up under center – including Garoppolo’s backups Brian Hoyer or Aidan O’Connell – to look for short passes and to rely on Jacobs’ rushing ability all game long. This creates a perfect opportunity to get Jacobs back on track in Week 4 with at least one TD either on the ground or through the air.
Our final pick is Steelers RB Najee Harris. After back-to-back seasons with 10 TDs, Harris has yet to find paydirt in 2023. The Alabama product has led the team with 35 carries for a team-best 139 yards, but neither he nor his Pittsburgh teammates have scored a rushing TD this season.
This week’s opponent – the Houston Texans – should help the Steelers reverse this trend. The Texans have surrendered a league-high seven rushing TDs through three games, giving Pittsburgh a better-than-average chance to find the endzone on the ground this year.
Harris will benefit from this, earning his first TD of the season Sunday.