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Bills at Dolphins: Best Bets for Sunday Night

Bill Christy
Written by Bill Christy
January 5, 2024
Bills at Dolphins Best Bets for Sunday Night

The AFC East title is up for grabs in what will be the most anticipated matchup of the weekend when Buffalo travels to Miami Sunday Night. This will also be a rematch from earlier this season when Miami was coming off their 70-20 slaughtering of the Broncos and were then humbled by these Bills 48-20.

Who has the edge in this rivalry game? Check out our best bets for Bills at Dolphins below. Good luck with all of your Sunday Night Football selections.

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins

Miami turned the ball over twice during the first meeting between these two teams while the Bills were turnover free. Miami’s inability to convert on 3rd down (3/10) was also an issue for them in the previous game.

Josh Allen was MVP-like as he went 21/25 for 320 yards, 4 touchdowns, and no interceptions. He and Stefon Diggs connected on 3 of those scores while Diggs racked up 120 yards on 6 receptions.

Buffalo is currently on a 4-game winning streak and fresh off a narrow 27-21 home victory over New England. Miami has won 5 of their last 7 but are coming off another humbling loss to the Ravens 56-19.

They were without Jaylen Waddle and likely to be without him again in this matchup. On the other side, Stefon Diggs is averaging just 47.6 yards per game over his last 10 games and just 3 touchdowns.

Best Bet: Dolphins +2.5

The Dolphins snapped the streak of losses to over .500 teams 2 weeks ago when they defeated the Cowboys at home. Now they get the same opportunity to end the season and achieve one of their goals by winning the division and avenging their loss to this same Bills team from earlier this season. And that is what we believe will happen in this one.

We are going to ride the home dog here and bank on the fact that the revenge factor will play a stronger role than the loss of Waddle. The fact that Miami was dismantled by Baltimore last week and Buffalo is on their win streak has the public buying on Buffalo by backing them with over 80% of the money on Bills bets.

We feel comfortable fading those casual bettors. Let's take the points with the Fish!

Key Betting Trends for Buffalo at Miami

  • Buff is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
  • Buff is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • Mia is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
  • Mia is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games.

Bonus Bets: SNF Props

Want a little extra action on this AFC East rivalry? We got you covered! We've listed our 3 favorite props for this game below. Good luck!

Josh Allen Anytime TD -105 (BetMGM)

  • Allen has scored at least 1 rushing TD in 5 straight games with 3 of those games being dual score games.
  • In their previous meeting, Allen also scored a rushing TD.

James Cook OVER 20.5 Receiving Yards -114 (FanDuel)

  • In 4 of his last 5 games, Cook has gone over this total.
  • Cook finished with 48 receiving yards in their previous meeting.

1st Quarter Total OVER 9.5 -115

  • These 2 teams combined for 21 total points in the 1st quarter in their last meeting.
  • Both teams went over this total in their previous games.
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