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Best Bets for College Football Week 6

Bill Christy
Written by Bill Christy
October 4, 2023
Best Bets for College Football Week 6

Are you ready for Week 6 of college football? We'll help get you there! Here are 4 best bets for Saturday, October 7. Good luck with your action!

Best Bet: UCLA -3.5 over Washington State

#13 Washington State is 4-0 and have 2 ranked opponent wins under their belts. After taking care of Wisconsin 31-22, they took down Oregon State 38-35. Last week was a bye week for them as they prepared to face this UCLA team.

They are 2nd in passing yards per game (404.5) and 5th in scoring (45.8). Cameron Ward has been perfect with 0 interceptions while still throwing 13 touchdowns. Lincoln Victor has been on the receiving end of 3 of those Cam Ward touchdowns passes and is averaging over 100 yards per game.

The offense is 3rd in 3rd down conversion percentage at 61.5%. The defense has not done much but just enough to help get the Cougars to this undefeated mark.

UCLA was undefeated before facing #11 Utah 2 weeks ago. On the road, The Bruins fell behind 14-0 after a pick 6 and Nate Johnson to Landen King TD pass; they could not find an offensive rhythm to get back enough to win the game.

The Bruins’s defense has been their strong side of the ball as they are allowing only 11ppg which is 8th in the country while their offense is putting up 32ppg. Carson Steele and TJ Harden have combined to help the Bruins rank 35th in rushing yards per game at 205ypg.

We like the Bruins to bounce back here in this spot at home against a solid Wazzu team. The Bruins’s defense is going to be able to hold them in check like they did against Utah. However, Wazzu’s defense is much weaker than Utah which leads us to believe that the Bruins will be able to pull away come the 2nd half.

Key Betting Trends for Washington State at UCLA

  • Wazzu is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against UCLA.
  • Wazzu is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games played in October.
  • UCLA is 15-5 SU in their last 20 games.
  • UCLA is 2-1 ATS in their last 3 games against Wazzu.

Best Bet: Missouri +6.5 over LSU

LSU has been putting up over 550 total yards per game which is 4th in the nation. They are 8th in 3rd down conversions at 56.7%. Jayden Daniels has thrown 16 touchdowns and just 2 picks while also running for 3 touchdowns and almost 300 yards.

Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. have been tough against opposing secondaries with a combined 13 touchdowns and over 1100 yards on 73 receptions. The defense however, is ranked 200th in points allowed per game at 31ppg.

Missouri leans on their passing game which is 22nd in the country with over 300 yards per game. At 5-0, they have defeated their lone ranked opponent KSU which was 15th at the time, 30-27.

Luther Burden III has been one of the top receivers in the conference and has been averaging 128 yards per game and 5 touchdowns. He is Brady Cook’s favorite target as the 2 combined for 644 yards on 81 receptions and 5 scores. The defense is allowing just over 20ppg but will surely be tested by Jaydon Daniels and the Tiger offense.

In the battle of the Tigers, we are backing the home dogs here. LSU can not seem to stop any opposing offenses while Missouri has had a ton of success offensively. We believe it will be highly unlikely that LSU will lose back-to-back games but we believe the points will be a factor in this one. Give us the home dogs err Tigers.

Key Betting Trends for LSU at Missouri

  • LSU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the SEC.
  • LSU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in week 6.
  • Mizzou is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Saturday.
  • Mizzou is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games when playing as the underdog.

Best Bet: Kentucky +14.5 over Georgia

#20 Kentucky is 5-0 and are coming off a thrashing of #22 Florida. In a spot where it would be suspected that they would look ahead to #1 Georgia, the Wildcats posted a 33-14 beating of Florida.

Devin Leary has been decent under center while his backfield has led the way a bit. Ray Davis is averaging over 115 yards after putting up 280 on Florida last week. The 15.2ppg they are allowing rank them 32nd in the country.

The back-to-back defending champion Georgia Bulldogs have continued their winning ways into this season. That said, this will be their 1st ranked opponent of the season. They struggled last week at Auburn but were able to pull out a 27-20 victory.

Carson Beck has been tremendous with a 162 QBR and is averaging 300 yards passing per game. He, along with his running backs, have been able to convert on 54% of 3rd down attempts which ranks them 13th in the nation. The defense has been their typical selves and are holding opponents to just 13ppg.

There seem to be a few cracks in the armor of the Bulldogs when they allowed 219 yards on the ground to Auburn. Kentucky has already been tested this season where this will be the 1st major test for Georgia. The over 2 touchdown spread here is simply too much to be giving a Wildcats team that has the ability to keep this one tight deep into the 4th quarter.

Key Betting Trends for Kentucky at Georgia

  • UK is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
  • UK is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • UGA is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • UGA is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Kentucky.

Best Bet: Notre Dame -6.5 over Louisville

The #10 Irish are facing their 3rd straight ranked opponent this Saturday. After losing a brutal 17-14 game to Ohio State, they bounced back nicely with a 21-14 victory over Duke last week. They held the Blue Devils to just 134 passing yards and forced 2 turnovers while not turning it over once themselves.

Junior tight end, Mitchell Evans, broke out for 134 yards on 6 receptions last week. Sam Hartman has continued to his stellar play under center and provides a calm leadership.

After defeating NC St on the road last week 13-10, the Cardinals have found themselves ranked for the 1st time this season. The 5-0 record is one of the best starts for Louisville in recent years.

Jack Plummer, the Cal QB transfer, has been huge for the offense. He has them ranked 13th in the nation in total yards and 32nd in ppg at 37.

Jawhar Jordan has been solid on the ground too, rushing for an average over 102ypg and accumulating 7 total touchdowns. The 17.2ppg they are allowing to opponents has been impressive as well. However, this will be their 1st ranked opponent of the season.

Louisville have been fun to watch but they are not at the same level as this Irish team. This will be the last game for ND before a bye and then a meeting with rival USC the following week.

The bye will allow them to be in a spot where they do not truly have a look ahead spot prior to USC. We expect Hartman and company to handle business here and pick up the road win here by double-digits.

Key Betting Trends for Notre Dame at Louisville

  • ND is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games on the road.
  • ND is 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
  • ND is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing as the favorite.
  • Louisville is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in week 6.
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