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8 Best Bets for 2023 BMW Championship

Bill Christy
Written by Bill Christy
August 16, 2023
8 Best Bets for 2023 BMW Championship

Fifty of the PGA Tour's biggest stars will compete in the 2023 BMW Championship this weekend for the chance of making it to the Tour Championship in Atlanta next week. The top 30 golfers will advance and earn the right to compete for one of golf's biggest honors.

Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler (both at +700) are currently listed as the favorites to win the BMW, which starts on Thursday, August 17. Jon Rahm (+1000) is also pretty high on the favorites list, according to BetMGM. Here are 8 best bets that we love for this prestigious event!

Corey Conners -110 OVER Brian Harman

Conners is coming off a 6th place finish at the FedEx St Jude Championship. He bounced back nicely on the weekend after faltering to a 2 over score on Friday.

He is coming off his best finish at the BMW last year when he finished 5th. He has consistently finished higher as the years have gone on here.

He faces Brian Harman, who finished 31st last week following his Open Championship victory. He did finish 12th in 2020 here but was 35th last year. We like the way Conners has played recently and believe Harman is happy with his major victory and will coast once again here.

Tony Finau -110 OVER Byeong Hun An

Finau’s 28th place finish at the BMW last year was his worst in the last 5 years. Prior, he has finishes of 8th, 4th, and 5th.

The 2 over par he shot last week is a bit concerning but he should be able to turn things around here at the BMW.

Byeong Hun An was 12th last year here at the BMW but was 37th last week and continually shot worse as the tournament went on. Finau should be able to get the job done here.

Tommy Fleetwood -120 OVER Collin Morikawa

Morikawa has missed the cut in 2 of his last 4 starts. Here at the BMW, he has gone on to finish 44th and 63rd over the last 2 seasons.

Fleetwood was spectacular last week finishing 3rd and has been consistent over the past 3 tournaments. We like him to continue his strong play and pick up this victory.

Top 10 Finish Parlay: Rory McIlroy & Jon Rahm +225

We found these parlay offerings on DraftKings and love the value they are providing. With a limited field, we do not have the luxury of playing a Top 40 or Top 30 finish, so this is our next best option.

Rory has now finished inside the Top 10 in 8 straight events after placing 3rd last week at the FedEx St Jude Championship. Rahm is a bit scary due to his 37th place finish last week. But, after shooting an opening round 73, he went 8 under the rest of the tournament.

Since 2019, Rahm has finished inside the Top 10 in the BMW Championship and won the tournament outright in 2020, the last time the event was here at Olympia Fields North Course.

Top 10 Finish Parlay: Patrick Cantlay & Tommy Fleetwood +450

Cantlay is the defending champion here at the BMW for the last 2 years. He is coming off a runner-up finish at the FedEx St Jude Championship last week and seems to be rounding into form as he always does at this time of year.

Fleetwood was in contention late into Sunday last week and picked up his 3rd straight Top 10 finish as he heads into the BMW.

He hasn’t competed in this event since 2019 but we believe getting 4.5 to 1 on this parlay is certainly worth the play.

Top GB & Ireland: Rory McIlroy +120

We spoke of McIlroy’s accolades and why we believe he will finish inside the Top 10 once again this weekend. Here, he faces several opponents in Fleetwood, Hatton, Fitzpatrick, Rose, and Power.

Fleetwood is likely our biggest threat here but, in the end, we believe that Rory will in the final group come Sunday.

Hatton finished a sorry 43rd last week, Fitzpatrick and Power came in 49th and 65th here last year, Rose was 52nd in 2019 when he last competed in the BMW.

Top Canadian: Corey Conners +138

Conners will need to best Adam Hadwin, Adam Svensson and Nick Taylor in order for us to cash this ticket. Despite a hiccup on Friday, Conners was able to right the ship and grab a 6th place finish last week.

Last year, he came in 5th here at the BMW while Hadwin finished 44th. Nick Taylor has only 1 start at the BMW, and it happened to come in 2020 when they were here at the North Course, and he finished 51st.

Svensson shot an opening round 66 last week but petered out over the weekend and 37th. Conners has the recent form and track record to get this one done.

Tournament 3-Ball: Cantlay OVER Hovland & Schauffele +150

Over the past 5 seasons, Xander has finished all over the place here at the BMW. Last year he tied his best finish of 3rd but the previous year he had his worst finish of 49th.

Hovland is more of the same with a 35th place finish and a 40th place finish that sandwiched a 17th finish in 2021. Cantlay, as we already said, is defending back-to-back champion and is playing at an extremely high level.

This play should hit and serve as a safeguard over the long shot parlay we have Cantlay tied in with Fleetwood.

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