Now that the US has finished toying with the international team in last week’s Presidents Cup, we finally get back to our regularly scheduled Tour schedule. This event lacks the star power that the Presidents Cup had but we have a good set of data to use to our advantage.
The Country Club of Jackson in Mississippi will play host to the Sanderson Farms Championship. Typically, this track sets up well for players that are long off the tee and have talent on their approach shots. Sam Burns will be back to defend his title and this should be a nice spot for him to bounce back after a rough showing at the President’s Cup (0-3-2).
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Taylor Montgomery is coming off a 3rd place finish at the Fortinet Championship. This was only his 5th start on the Tour since 2018-2019.
Denny McCarthy has much more experience and a strong track record here at Jackson. In his last 4 starts at the Sanderson, he has finished no worse than 18th.
He is coming off a season where he finished 2nd on Tour in Strokes Gained Putting. We believe Denny’s experience will treat him well here against Montgomery.
Justin Lower played in 24 events last season and was able to make the weekend in 15 of them. He picked up five top 25 finishes and even two top 10s. He is facing Brendon Todd in this matchup who has made 3 starts here over the last 5 years.
In all 3, Todd failed to make the cut. His course fit is the 2nd worst in the field and will allow us a strong advantage here. We don’t expect Todd to make a run here this year and if Lower is able to make the cut, that should be enough to pick up the win.
Sepp Straka has started in the last 4 Sanderson Farms Championships and has missed the cut in all 4. Hadwin got his 1st start here last year and finished in 45th.
Hadwin is coming off a year where he was in the top 100 in the majority of the Strokes Gained categories. The top of those categories is around the green. He finished 14th on Tour around the green and was able to secure five top 10 finishes and 20 made cuts in 26 events.
We believe Straka’s struggles at the Country Club of Jackson will continue and Hadwin should be able to beat him again this year.