For NFL fans, Thanksgiving Week is a feast of games from Thursday to Sunday that fans happily gobble up. This year’s slate is no different with a host of divisional matchups that will whet fans’ and bettors’ appetites alike.
Let’s take a closer look at each game in this edition of the NFL Week 12 odds.
Going back to 1944, the Detroit Lions (8-2) have hosted an NFL game on Thanksgiving every year. While their all-time record is 37-44-2, their opponent this year – the Green Bay Packers (4-6) – also have a losing record for turkey day at 14-20-2.
With Detroit positioning itself for a top playoff seed, the Lions have plenty to play for on Thanksgiving Day. This game’s over/under total starts at 45.5 points.
The other team that has traditionally played on Thanksgiving Day is the Dallas Cowboys (7-3). Going back to the 1960s, Dallas owns a 31-22-1 record on the holiday, usually besting a divisional foe.
This year, their opponent is the Washington Commanders (4-7), a team that owns a 4-7 record on Thanksgiving Day. All seven losses, however, came to Dallas. This game’s over/under total is set at 48 points, the highest total in Week 12.
For the first time since 1972, the San Francisco 49ers (7-3) will play on Thanksgiving Day. Their opponent – the Seattle Seahawks (6-5) – is a team vying for first place in the NFC West division, sitting one game behind the 49ers.
Seattle last played on this holiday date in 2014, but this will be the first time Seattle has hosted a Thanksgiving Day game. This contest’s over/under total starts at 42.5 points.
For the first time, the NFL will play a Black Friday game featuring the Miami Dolphins (7-3) against the New York Jets (4-6). Miami squeaked out a 20-13 win Sunday against the Raiders, continuing their one-game lead over Buffalo in the AFC East division.
The Jets are in a must-win situation after dropping three straight games to keep their playoff hopes alive. The over/under total for this contest starts at 41.5 points.
In a rarity for the 2023 season, the New England Patriots (2-8) are favored as the disappointing franchise travels to New York to face the hapless Giants (3-8). Through Week 11, four NFL teams have scored more points (294 or more points) than these two teams combined have managed.
With this in mind, the over/under total for this contest is deservedly set at a Week 12 low of 33.5 points.
After Tampa Bay fell 27-14 to San Francisco Sunday, the Buccaneers (4-6) look to right their ship against the Indianapolis Colts (5-5).
Coming off a bye week, the Colts enter this game on a two-game winning streak hungry to make the Buccaneers their third straight victim. This contest’s over/under total is set at 42.5 points.
A battle for NFC South supremacy takes place when the New Orleans Saints (5-5) travel to Atlanta to face the Falcons (4-6). New Orleans is fresh off a bye week and could have a healthier QB Derek Carr under center for the first time in a month.
Atlanta, meanwhile, is on a three-game losing skid and needs a win to tie New Orleans for the division lead. This game’s over/under total starts at 41.5 points.
Another battle for NFL Draft positioning takes place when the Carolina Panthers (1-9) take on the Tennessee Titans (3-7). While the Panthers have the most losses through this point of the NFL season, the team has been more competitive in their last five contests.
The Titans, losers of three straight, have fallen by a combined 38 points in those games with the margin growing each contest. This game’s over/under total starts at 37 points.
A potential battle for the last AFC Wildcard spot takes place Sunday when the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) take on the Cincinnati Bengals (5-5). Both teams enter this AFC North divisional contest on a losing note; Pittsburgh fell 13-10 to Cleveland Sunday while Cincinnati dropped a 34-20 game to Baltimore.
With QB Joe Burrow expected to miss this game, the over/under total is starting at 34.5 points.
An unexpected battle for the AFC South lead happens Sunday when the Jacksonville Jaguars (7-3) play the Houston Texans (6-4). Jacksonville dispatched the Tennessee Titans in Week 11 while Houston – winners of three straight – outlasted the Cardinals 21-16.
In a game that could turn into a shoot-out, oddsmakers have set this contest’s over/under total at 46 points.
The Los Angeles Rams (4-6) surprisingly knocked off the Seahawks, completing the season sweep of their NFC West rivals. The Rams will look to finish a second season sweep against Arizona after winning their first contest 26-9 against the Cardinals (2-9).
Arizona will have QB Kyler Murray for this battle, however. The game features an over/under total set at 44.5 points.
Two of the NFL’s hottest teams square off Sunday when the Cleveland Browns (7-3) take on the Denver Broncos (5-5). The Browns won their third straight game Sunday against Pittsburgh in a defensive battle, cementing Cleveland’s claim that their defense is among the league’s best.
Denver, meanwhile, has won four straight games – currently the NFL’s longest streak – and can climb above .500 for the first time this season. This contest’s over/under total is aptly set at 36 points.
An AFC West showdown showcases the divisional leading Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) against the Las Vegas Raiders (5-6). Kansas City will enter the game off a short week, facing the Philadelphia Eagles Monday night.
The Raiders experienced their first loss under interim HC Antonio Pierce. This game’s over/under total is starting at 44 points.
The Buffalo Bills (6-5) flexed their muscle Sunday against the New York Jets, squashing their AFC North rivals 32-6 in Week 11. Now, the Bills travel south to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (8-1).
Philadelphia will enter this contest fresh off their Monday night game against the Kansas City Chiefs. This game’s over/under total is starting at 47.5 points, the highest Week 12 total.
Sunday’s primetime nightcap features the Baltimore Ravens (8-3) traveling west to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (4-6). Baltimore continues to roll opponents, upending AFC North rival Cincinnati 34-20 Sunday.
Los Angeles cannot keep their momentum built after falling for a second straight week, this time to the Green Bay Packers 23-20 in a road contest. The matchup features an over/under total at 46.5 points.
Week 12 concludes on Monday night as the Chicago Bears (3-8) face off against the Minnesota Vikings. Chicago found a way to lose to Detroit despite having a +3 turnover margin and possessing the football for over 40 minutes.
Minnesota, which had won five straight, lost a heart-breaking 21-20 contest against Denver Sunday night. This game’s over/under total is starting at 45 points.
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Earnest is a 25-year veteran of the newspaper industry. He's spent the majority of his early years working as a sports reporter and editor. He made the move back to the digital world in 2022, joining EatWatchBet as a senior writer. Ernie covers college football betting, fantasy football, and NFL betting for EatWatchBet.