With the playoff picture starting to take shape, teams that expect to make deep postseason runs have to finish strong. Which players will show up – and show out – this Sunday to cover Week 15 player prop bets? Here are our top “four sure” picks for this week, helping bettors earn some Christmas cash just before the holidays.
In a Week 4 rematch, San Francisco heads to Arizona to take on the Cardinals. While 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey scored four TDs in the two team’s first matchup, bettors should look to his teammate – WR Deebo Samuel – as the next San Francisco star to illuminate the scoreboard in Week 15.
While the Cardinals have one of the better passing defenses in the league, Arizona has allowed 10 TDs to the position in their last nine games, the second-most scores allowed to the WR position during that span.
After being shut out in the first matchup, expect Samuel to burst onto the scene (and into the endzone) Sunday. The 49ers veteran has scored six of his nine TDs in the past three games, including a rushing TD in all three contests. Ride the hot hand in this game and expect Samuel to cover the player prop wager against Arizona.
With Cooper Kupp sidelined the first four games, Los Angeles QB Matthew Stafford turned to rookie WR Puka Nacua to carry the passing game. Nacua responded with rookie-best totals in his first two games, and for the year the Rams receiver has caught 82 of 127 targets for 1,113 yards and four TDs.
Up next for Los Angeles is a date with Washington. The Commanders have allowed the second-most receiver TDs this season, allowing 20 total scores. Washington has allowed in its past two games, showing the Commanders are particularly vulnerable heading into this Week 15 matchup. Expect Nacua to catch his fifth TD this season and cover this player prop bet.
Atlanta rookie RB Bijan Robinson has quickly made his mark. The Falcons first round selection ranks ninth in rushing yards (790) and 15th in carries (169) in 2023. Additionally, Robinson has tallied 40 catches thus far for 320 receiving yards and three additional scores.
Robinson’s task this weekend is to score on the worst team in the NFL – the Panthers. Carolina has surrendered the most TDs this season to halfbacks by allowing 20 total scores (17 rushing, 3 receiving). Expect Robinson to punch in his eighth TD of the season against Carolina Sunday.
The longest odds on our “four sure” anytime TD bets this week belong to Cleveland TE David Njoku. In his seventh season with the Browns, Njoku has caught more passes through Week 14 (59) than in any previous season with Cleveland. His four TD receptions this season are also a career-best he’s previously recorded.
Why should bettors presume Njoku will add to his total against the Chicago Bears? First, QB Joe Flacco is under center, and the former Raven signal caller notoriously checks off his receivers in favor of his TE. Last week, Njoku was second on the team in catches (6) and targets (8), but the veteran caught two TD passes from Flacco.
This week, expect more of the same chemistry against the Bears. Chicago has allowed only one score to the TE position over the past four weeks, but the Bears have yielded the second-most scores to the position of any NFL franchise. Expect Njoku to notch at least his fifth TD this season against Chicago to successfully cover this player prop bet.
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Earnest is a 25-year veteran of the newspaper industry. He's spent the majority of his early years working as a sports reporter and editor. He made the move back to the digital world in 2022, joining EatWatchBet as a senior writer. Ernie covers college football betting, fantasy football, and NFL betting for EatWatchBet.