The penultimate weekend of the NFL’s 2023 season is upon as the AFC and NFC Championship games are here. These two contests will decide the Super Bowl LVIII (58) matchup, the ultimate prize for any NFL franchise.
With only four teams remaining, this marks our last “four sure” NFL Anytime TD player prop bets of the year. On the season, we finished slightly above .500 with a 50.7% winning percentage. Still, our profit off those bets reached an eight percent margin, giving fans who followed this author’s bets a little extra cash this year.
Which players are the best bets to score for their respective teams this weekend? Below, we’ll reveal our “four sure” NFL anytime TD player prop bets. Additionally, we’re parlaying these bets for a chance at +1,463 odds, meaning a $10 bet would net $146.23.
San Francisco 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey (-340)
A finalist for the AP Player of the Year award, San Francisco 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey has been a dominant force in the NFL this season. In 2023, McCaffrey rushed for 1,459 yards and 14 TDs while also catching 67 passes for 564 yards and seven more scores. Last week, McCaffrey scored twice against the Green Bay Packers while accounting for 128 total yards.
Although the Lions have allowed only one rushing and one passing score to RBs over the last seven games, expect McCaffrey to punch in at least one TD this weekend. San Francisco’s offense targeted McCaffrey nearly 37% of the time, giving him a better-than-average chance of scoring against Detroit in the NFC Championship game.
Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (+110)
The hands-down favorite for the NFL’s MVP award is Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson. This season, Jackson completed 67 percent of his passes for 3,678 yards and 24 TDs against only seven picks. On the ground, Jackson rewrote personal records by earning 821 rushing yards and 15 TDs.
Against Houston last week, Jackson’s damage with feet continued as the QB carried the ball 11 times for 100 yards and two TDs against the Texans. Expect Jackson to do much of the same this week after Kansas City allowed QB Josh Allen to score twice in their Divisional Round matchup, giving bettors confidence Jackson will cover this player prop bet.
Detroit Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (+130)
If not for the late-season surge Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb enjoyed, Detroit Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown would have easily been the NFL’s top WR this season. On the year, St. Brown nabbed 119 passes for 1,515 yards and 10 TDs, all marks that rank among the top four in the NFL.
St. Brown has also scored in five of the Lions’ previous six games, including a score in the Divisional Round against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This week’s opponent – the San Francisco 49ers – have also allowed six receiving TDs to WRs over their past four games, giving bettors confidence St. Brown will cover this player prop bet.
Kansas City Chiefs WR Rashee Rice (+150)
Kansas City Chiefs WR Rashee Rice knows how to make a debut. The rookie WR caught 79 of his 102 targets during the NFL’s regular season, scoring seven times in the process. In the postseason, Rice has hauled in 12 of his 16 targets for 177 yards and a TD.
Prior to last week’s victory over Houston, Baltimore had surrendered a receiving TD to WRs in four straight games. With Rice gaining Mahomes’ trust this year and a defense geared to stop TE Travis Kelce, expect the Chiefs WR to catch at least one score against the Ravens to cover this player prop bet.
