The final NFL game is this weekend when the Kansas City Chiefs (17-2) will attempt to make history by earning their third consecutive Super Bowl victory. In Sunday’s game, they’ll face the Philadelphia Eagles (17-3) inside the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
Kansas City arrived at Super Bowl LIX by defeating the Houston Texans in the AFC Divisional Round. Then, the Chiefs avenged one of their two losses this season by beating the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship game.
Philadelphia put in a little more work during the playoffs as the second-seeded team in the NFC. The Eagles outlasted the Green Bay Packers, the Los Angeles Rams, and the Washington Commanders, hosting all three games before traveling to Louisiana this week.
Can the Chiefs make history as the first franchise to earn three consecutive Super Bowl wins? We’ll cover that and our three favorite player prop bets below.
Live player props data coming soon for Patrick Mahomes.
Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes UNDER 253.5 Passing Yards
For the fifth time in his eight-year career, Patrick Mahomes will finish his season in the Super Bowl. Mahomes finished this season with some of the worst stats he’s experienced during his time in the NFL, finishing with 3,928 passing yards, 26 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions.
This season, Mahomes has been equal parts game manager and game changer. He’s had nine games exceeding this figure and just as many where he threw for less than 251 yards. He’s led his squad to six fourth-quarter comebacks to win the game, helping the Chiefs earn the AFC’s top spot in the playoffs.
Philadelphia will challenge the Chiefs’ aerial attack with their strong defensive backfield. Bettors should expect Mahomes will be called upon to win this game, but Kansas City will rely on their running game to move the ball. Take the under on this player prop bet.
Live player props data coming soon for Saquon Barkley.
Philadelphia Eagles RB Saquon Barkley UNDER 113.5 Rushing Yards
Eagles running back Saquon Barkley had arguably his best season in 2024, finishing with 2,005 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground. His success has continued into the postseason as he earned 442 rushing yards and five touchdowns on the ground during January.
In the playoffs, both Joe Mixon and James Cook have exceeded 85 rushing yards on the Chiefs’ defense. Still, Kansas City hasn’t allowed a single 100-yard rusher in 19 games. That’s why Kansas City finished as the eighth-best rush defense this season.
Can Barkley become the first player to reach triple-figure rushing totals against Kansas City this season? Absolutely. Will he is the question, and bettors should take the under on this player prop bet with confidence as the Chiefs will look to take away that facet of Philly’s offensive plans.
Live player props data coming soon for Travis Kelce.
Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce OVER 60.5 Receiving Yards
There have been few tight ends better than Travis Kelce in the game’s history. For the 10th time in his career, the Chiefs advanced to the postseason. That’s one reason he’s produced so many playoff receiving records during his Hall of Fame career.
The other reason is despite turning 35 this year, he remains one of the Chiefs’ top targets. The Commanders showed how vulnerable the interior of the Eagles’ defense is to tight ends, giving bettors confidence he’ll exceed his player prop bet in the Super Bowl.
Best Bet: OVER 48.5 Total Points
There’s little reason to believe this game will be a blowout as both teams have the tools needed to make this a competitive contest. Both teams feature quarterbacks and coaches who have been here before, and sportsbooks have appropriately decided on a 1.5-point spread for the Super Bowl.
As for the game itself, I believe Philadelphia is entering as the stronger team. Yet betting against Mahomes has been foolish over the last three seasons. The best bet is that the offenses will control this contest, and a 50-plus final combined score is the most likely outcome for Sunday’s final NFL game.
