NFL Playoffs: 2 Underdog DFS Picks for Conference Titles

As the NFL playoffs wind down, player props remain one of the most exploitable markets. This week, two props stand out as high probability angles to attack as part of our Underdog DFS card for the AFC and NFC Title Games.

Check out our full breakdown of each of these selections below. Enjoy the games, and best of luck with all of your DFS action on Championship Weekend. Let’s ride!

Tyler Higbee Longest Reception Over 10.5 Yards

Last season, Higbee cashed this prop in four of five games, including the longest catches of 11 and 20 yards in both road games, before his season was cut short due to injury.

This season has also been cut short due to injuries, but when he has played, he has produced. Higbee has cashed five straight games to end the regular season, hitting seven of his last nine and eight of twelve overall this year, with a median of 18. Road performances have been particularly encouraging, with Higbee cashing four of his last five away games, posting longest receptions of 27 yards at Chicago, 36 at Carolina, and 15 at San Francisco in his last three.

Higbee has not been their main TE target this season; he averages 2.4 receptions on 3.7 targets per game, but those looks are meaningful, producing 15 yards per reception and 12.2 yards per catch. One catch with some yards after catch is all that’s needed.

Since December 18, Seattle has allowed the longest tight end receptions of 16 yards to Tonges, 20 to George Kittle, 27 to Keenan Allen, 16 to Colby Parkinson, and 27 to Jake Ferguson. With these corners locked in on slowing down Nacua and Adams, it should allow the tight ends to get some looks. This defense has struggled to limit chunk gains against tight ends in recent weeks.

Drake Maye Longest Rush Over 12.5 Yards

Drake Maye’s longest rush prop offers another high upside angle this weekend that may only require one play. Maye has cleared this number in four of his last six games, with a median longest rush of 12 yards and an average of 13.5 yards this season.

He’s also shown the ability to get there on the road. Maye has cashed three of his last six away games and four of eight games overall this year. The market also confirms expected usage as Maye’s over 5.5 rushing attempts line is heavily juiced to -202, telling us bookmakers expect scrambling and designed runs.

The Broncos have also allowed recent quarterbacks to scoot around. Over their last two games, the Broncos allowed Josh Allen to break a 26-yard run and Trey Lance to rip off a 22-yard rush, showing the path is there.

With a defense that leads the NFL at getting to the quarterback, Maye could be on his heels all game. If that’s the case, I LOVE this play. The possible league MVP has a chance to get this team to the Super Bowl, I believe he will have seven to eight options to make an explosive play with his feet.