We have just over two months until the start of the 2025 NFL season, a sigh of relief for football fans who are sick of watching baseball and soccer. While some might think it’s too early to start thinking about the upcoming year, we’ve already started looking at Underdog’s season-long props, hoping to get some early value on the earliest-listed lines.
We’ve put together our favorite props below and segmented them into three different categories: “Keep it simple, stupid,” “Props we really like,” and “Longshots that could certainly happen.”
Let’s get into our top picks from every category, hoping to cash in on some long-term value at the end of the season!
Keep it simple, stupid!
Ja’Marr Chase OVER 1,349.5 Receiving Yards
From what we’re seeing, Ja’Marr Chase has the highest receiving yardage prop on the board at Underdog, and for good reason. He has been a beast throughout his career, and his connection with Joe Burrow has only gotten better over time.
Chase is coming off the best season of his career, where he garnered over 1,700 yards and 17 touchdowns. He doesn’t have to top that to go over his projection, and as long as he stays healthy, this seems like a great bet.
Justin Jefferson OVER 1,299.5 Receiving Yards
You can rinse and repeat a lot of the information from Chase for Justin Jefferson. Jefferson didn’t necessarily have a career year in 2024, but his 1,533 yards were nothing to sneeze at.
Minnesota Vikings fans aren’t necessarily sure what to think of J.J. McCarthy’s first season with the team, but as long as he has Jefferson on his side, he should be okay. Similarly to Chase, if Jefferson doesn’t get injured, he should have no problems achieving at least 1,300 yards this season.
Brock Bowers OVER 5.5 Receiving Touchdowns
To say Brock Bowers’ rookie season was sensational is an understatement. The Las Vegas Raiders tight end had 112 receptions for 1,194 yards and five touchdowns, a testament to how dominant he was as a rookie.
It might be bold to say that he has a higher ceiling this season, but with Geno Smith as his quarterback, we’re confident that Bowers can repeat his success, if not exceed it.
Smith should target him a lot in the red zone, especially, so we’re taking the over on Bowers’ touchdown line and hoping he’ll explode in that area in 2025.
Props we really like.
Drake Maye OVER 21.5 Passing Touchdowns
The New England Patriots are going to be a lot better in 2025 than they were in 2024, or at least, so we’re predicting. They’ve made a lot of adjustments over the past several months that give us confidence in their offense’s ability to put up points, which is why we’re high on Drake Maye’s touchdown total.
Maye’s rookie season was hampered by an offensive line that was, let’s be honest, offensive, but he should be supported by a better cast this year. Despite a bad line, he still threw 15 touchdowns in 13 games, a testament to his upside in this league. We think Maye’s ceiling is 25+ TD passes this year, especially with a new weapon like Stefon Diggs, so the over is our play here.
Jordan Love OVER 24.5 Passing Touchdowns
We were a bit surprised to see how low Jordan Love’s passing touchdown line was heading into his third season as the Green Bay Packers’ starting quarterback. He threw 32 in his first full season and 25 last year, giving us plenty of confidence that he can get the job done again in 2025.
The Packers invested in this offense by taking WR Matthew Golden in the first round, and considering the team’s lack of interesting moves on defense, Love and the offense could spend a lot of time on the field this year.
He has a very high ceiling, as he showcased in 2023, and we’re betting that he’ll have a season closer to that rather than what he put up in 2024.
Longshots that could certainly happen.
Kyler Murray OVER .5 Playoff Games Started (1.12x Boost!)
We’ll start our longshots with a prop that isn’t that crazy of a boost, but since Underdog is giving us more juice than a traditional prop, we’ll take it! After starting his career so hot, Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals have certainly left something to be desired, making it to the playoffs just once during his career.
This happened in 2021, a game they lost to the Los Angeles Rams during the Wild Card round. Murray and the Cardinals seem to be in a better rhythm than they’ve had in prior years, and this team is ready to put on a show.
The NFC West isn’t getting any easier, but if Murray performs like he did earlier in his career and the weapons pan out as expected, this team could be a sneaky Wild Card option.
Cam Ward OVER .5 Playoff Games Started (2.57x Boost!)
We’ll admit, it might seem crazy to pick the Tennessee Titans to make the playoffs in Cam Ward’s first season. After all, the Titans were the worst team in the NFL last year, record-wise, and they certainly haven’t been the most active team in the offseason.
However, the Washington Commanders put the league on notice in 2024 by making it to the NFC Championship after being terrible in 2023, so it’s certainly not impossible.
The Titans were all-in on Ward during the pre-draft process, so it will be interesting to see if their passion and excitement were warranted and result in a playoff berth.
Quinshon Judkins OVER 999.5 Rushing Yards (5.95x Boost!)
This prop is the very definition of a long shot, but with a great boost from Underdog, it’s certainly worth a sprinkle on one of your season-long parlays. The Cleveland Browns aren’t slated to be very good this year, especially with their unknowns at the quarterback position.
However, the team was very excited to select Quinshon Judkins in the second round of this year’s NFL Draft, a player who has 1,000-yard upside. Nick Chubb had over 1,500 yards in this offense in 2022, and while Judkins hasn’t stepped foot on the NFL gridiron yet, his prospect profile is intriguing enough for us to take a flier.
He had over 1,000 yards in all three of his collegiate seasons, giving us more than enough confidence that he can put up similar numbers in the pros.
