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Jaguars at Bills: 3 Player Props and Best Bet for Monday Night Football

Earnest Horn
Written by Earnest Horn
September 23, 2024
Jaguars at Bills 3 Player Props and Best Bet for Monday

The Jacksonville Jaguars look to end their winless skid to start the season by traveling to Buffalo in a potential AFC playoff preview against the Bills for the early game of a doubleheader on Monday Night Football.

Jacksonville has tasted defeat twice this season, dropping games to the Miami Dolphins and Cleveland Browns. In both games, Trevor Lawrence has looked pedestrian, completing just over 51 of his passes for 382 yards and a single touchdown.

His counterpart – Josh Allen – is enjoying an undefeated start to the season with wins over the Arizona Cardinals and Miami Dolphins. Allen has completed over 73 percent of his passes this year for 382 yards and three scores while also running for 41 yards and two touchdowns this season.

Will the Jags swipe a win out of the jaws of defeat against the Bills? Or will Buffalo roam the field like the Super Bowl contenders they believe themselves to be? We’ll answer those questions as well as provide you with our best bets from this Monday Night Football game.

PlayerPropPrice
Trevor LawrenceOver 236.5 Pass Yards
Trevor LawrenceUnder 236.5 Pass Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence OVER 217.5 Passing Yards

Lawrence has been borderline dreadful thus far, and a 66-yard completion against Cleveland still could not help him climb over the 222.5-yard mark needed to complete this passing player prop bet.

So why the confidence in him against the Bills? Press Taylor. In this third year, the offensive coordinator has dialed up big aerial games for Lawrence in back-to-back Week 3 contests for Lawrence.

And his last game against the Bills, Lawrence threw for more than 300 yards.

Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen Anytime TD (-155)

Since the start of the 2023 season, Allen has been a scoring machine for the Bills. The 6-foot-5, 237-pound quarterback is the Bills’ goal-line go-to running back, and he’s scored 20 touchdowns on the ground through 21 games.

Here’s the kicker: Allen has not had back-to-back games without a rushing TD since the start of 2023.

Last week, the mobile quarterback did not score on the ground, giving bettors confidence he’ll reward this bet on Monday.

PlayerPropPrice
Brian Thomas JrOver 54.5 Reception Yards
Brian Thomas JrUnder 54.5 Reception Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars WR Brian Thomas Jr. OVER 40.5 Receiving Yards

Jacksonville used its first-round pick of the 2024 NFL Draft on Brian Thomas Jr., and he’s had an impressive debut through two games. The 6-foot-4 receiver has caught six of his eight targets for 141 yards and a score against the Dolphins and Browns.

Against the Bills, bettors should expect Thomas to continue his introductory tour of the NFL by handling the pressure of being a top-tier receiver for the team.

Finishing with at least 46 receiving yards is a seemingly easy prop bet for the former LSU athlete to cover.

Sunday, October 20 at 1:00 PMSpreadMoneyTotal
Tennessee Titans
+9
(-110)
+360
O 41.5
(-102)
Buffalo Bills
-9
(-110)
-450
U 41
(-112)

Best Bet: Jacksonville (+5.5)

Listen, the only two things we’ve consistently seen through three weeks of NFL action are bad quarterback play coupled with what’s up is down, what’s right is wrong, and what’s expected doesn’t happen.

For fans, this may be exciting – depending on the team and circumstance. Yet this is as frustrating a thing as you could imagine for bettors.

My gut reaction is Buffalo beats Jacksonville by seven points and puts this team away without much fanfare. Yet the Arizona Cardinals walked into Highmark Stadium and kept the game close, covering the spread in the process. I’ll begrudgingly take the Jaguars to do the same in this primetime matchup.

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