7. That’s not a point total. It’s almost the spread, but even that’s too low. No, 7 is the forecasted high in Chicago for the Bears/Browns matchup. Both teams come into this game off a loss, with the Bears losing to the Packers at Lambeau after a crazy second-half comeback and the Browns losing to the 2-11 Titans.
Sunday’s weather is the type of day when I question why people would go to the game. Cold isn’t even the right word. Brutal is more appropriate. Which is why I’m bringing the heat with these Bears/Browns picks. Let’s get into it.
Kyle Monangai (CHI) Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
Ever since Monangai has earned a more shared role in the backfield, he’s hitting this number with ease. Even last week against what many would consider the best defense in the league, Monangai went over this total.
He’s regularly splitting carries with D’Andre Swift, and with the cold hitting hard this Sunday, I expect him to shatter another defender’s helmet as he rushes to this over.
Shedeur Sanders (CLE) Over 0.5 Interceptions
Shedeur has surprised a lot of people across the NFL landscape with his play since entering the revolving door of injuries in Cleveland. Even with Deshaun Watson practicing on a limited basis this week, Sanders is set to start on Sunday.
In the four games he has played, he’s thrown an interception in three of them, and the Bears lead the league in takeaways on the season. Whether it’s a straight-up pick, off a deflection, or on a dropped pass, my confidence is higher on Chicago getting at least one pick vs zero.
Caleb Williams (CHI) – Over 16.5 Pass Completions
In the last two weeks, we’ve hit on Caleb Williams’ pass attempts number by a pretty solid margin. I keep mentioning and am going to keep mentioning the weather because it’s going to be a massive factor in how both teams game plan.
I don’t know if Caleb is going to throw the ball 31 times. The Bears should have some solid success running the ball, but this completion number is fairly low. With a 30.5 pass attempt number currently sitting out there, this falls right at 55%, which I expect him to hit.
| Sunday, September 13 at 1:00 PM | Spread | Money | Total |
| Chicago Bears |  -2.5 (-115) |  -135 |  O 45.5 (-106) |
| Carolina Panthers |  +2.5 (-113) | +118 | U 44.5 (-110) |
Best Bet: Chicago -7.5
Outside of the fact that every pick in this article is geared towards Chicago, here are some additional stats for you. Chicago is 8-3 ATS in their last 11. Cleveland is 0-6 in their last 6 games played in December.
Cleveland ranks 29th in the NFL in scoring, and their offensive line is likely to have 3-4 of their starters sidelined for this game. Everything in this game screams to take the Chicago line, which is what I’m doing. Let’s lay the points here with the home team.
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