The NFL continues to march on toward the halfway point with this week’s exciting action. With the pretenders starting to separate from the contenders, bettors can see which players will dominate each week to make some cold, hard cash.
Here at the “four sure” prediction department, picking underdogs makes the percentages we achieve among the worst in all of sports betting. Despite getting only eight of the 20 picks right this season, we’re still near break-even for the season in terms of profit margin from these bets.
We’ll take that from near profitable to fully profitable this week with these four bets. These are “four sure” locks to win bettors money in this week’s edition of picking anytime NFL touchdowns for Week 7.
| Player | Prop | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer |
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen (+110)
It’s rough on NFL defenses trying to stop mobile quarterbacks. Ask any opponent that’s faced the Buffalo Bills this year about trying to keep quarterback Josh Allen from dominating the game by himself.
Through six outings, Allen is completing nearly 63 percent of his passes for 1,160 yards and 10 touchdowns without an interception. On the ground, he’s just as lethal. Allen is the Bills’ second-leading rusher with 35 carries for 178 yards and three touchdowns.
Both the Packers and the Dolphins scored rushing touchdowns against the Tennessee Titans defense, and neither Malik Willis nor Tyler Huntley is the prolific runner that the 6-foot-5 Allen is. Expect Allen to score at least once in this contest on the ground to cover this player prop bet.
| Player | Prop | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Ekeler | Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer |
Washington Commanders RB Austin Ekeler (+115)
The Carolina Panthers are among the worst defenses in the NFL against the run. Through six games, the Panthers have yielded 12 rushing touchdowns and nearly 134 yards per game to the position – both league worsts.
If Brian Robinson Jr. were healthy, his -170 odds would be our lock. With his questionable status, we’ll turn to his primary backup in Austin Ekeler. Ekeler has scored just one touchdown in limited action, but he’ll add to that total this week against a weak Carolina defense.
Green Bay Packers WR Jayden Reed (+130)
The Green Bay Packers have a bonafide star receiver in Jayden Reed. The 5-foot-11 speedster gets behind defensive backs, having recorded 27 receptions for 442 yards and three touchdowns in his team’s first six outings.
The Texans – this week’s opponent – are among the league’s worst keeping wide receivers from scoring. In six games, quarterbacks have thrown nine touchdowns against Houston’s defense. That gives us confidence that Jayden Reed will catch at least one on Sunday to cover this player prop bet.
| Player | Prop | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Brock Bowers | Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer |
Las Vegas Raiders TE Brock Bowers (+210)
The Raiders have one of the least prolific offenses in the NFL, so picking a player from that roster to score – especially without Davante Adams – may seem like a crap shoot. Rookie tight end Brock Bowers is the exception to that rule.
Although he’s only scored once in his NFL career, the first-round pick has logged 37 receptions for 384 yards on the year. He’s the clear top option without Adams roaming the field. Moreover, the Rams have surrendered a league-worst three touchdowns to tight ends through five games. Expect Bowers to score against Los Angeles on Sunday.
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