Welcome back MLB fans! It was another great evening overall for my premium members and followers! We went 4-1 but unfortunately the only loss on the card yesterday was the one I chose for the article play. That happens! Today we are going to shake things up a little bit and head over to Underdog for a play!
We have a smaller slate today with some early games, so put this Underdog 4 leg Flex play together for a little sweaty fun for the day! Now this play is not something I typically run every day. Normally a 2-leg would be more than enough to run and if that is you, I would pair Arrighetti with Stone because naturally I focus on pitcher props.
Playing these hitter props today because data looks very good and had a little tip from the tooth fairy!
Spencer Arrighetti is a Walking Machine
Spencer has walked 2 batters in all 13 career starts and has hit 3 or more in 8 of them! It is insane how bad his control is, sort of like Tyler Andersons last night, which inevitably doomed our free play!
Arrighetti should reach 2 against Colorado. 7 of the last 13 right-handed pitchers, pitching at home, have hit 2 or more.
The Rockies are walking at the 16th highest rate over the last 30 days against right hand pitching. While Hunter Brown, his counterpart that pitched last night, walked 3.
Gavin Stone Faces the Last Place White Sox
Gavin has been perfect on the road this season staying under 3 earned runs. He has hit all 6 games, and those were at Colorado, Yankees, Mets, Giants, Blue Jays, and Cubs.
All tough places to play and he has passed the test. He now faces White Sox who rank dead last in wRC+ for the last 15 days and for the entire season.
They also rank 29th in on base percentage for the last 15 days, but rank dead last for the season. Two Sox are currently hitting above .250, everyone else is under.
Jurickson Profar’s Resurgence Continues
Profar is currently batting .317, with an .898 OPS, and 54 RBIs on the season. Ever since he joined the Padres, he has been hitting over .295, something in San Diego spiked his juices!
Fun fact the previous 3 years he never hit above .243. Profar has reached 1.5 hits plus runs plus RBIs in 8 of his last 10 games. He faces a newcomer left-handed pitcher DJ Herz, and Profar has a .370 average with a 180.6 wRC+ against lefties.
His best barreled ball is the fastball, and Herz throws it 56.5% of the time.
| Player | Prop | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Heliot Ramos is Going Yard Again
Again, you say? Yes, Ramos has homered off Hayden Wesneski of the Chicago Cubs previously! Ramos has 1 plate appearance against him and he connected. Now here, he may
only get 1 at bat because Wesneski has been a reliever, and we don’t know how long he will go today. Winds are going to be blowing out in San Francisco tonight.
Ramos has an ISO of 3 on Wesneski, a slugging percentage of .533, OPS of .925, and .337 average hitting at home. Let’s connect on one here!
My Best Bet: Flex Play (4 correct = 27x, 3 correct = 9x)
- Spencer Arrighetti (Hou) Higher 1.5 Walks
- Gavin Stone (LAD) Lower 2.5 ER
- Jurickson Profar (SD) Higher 1.5 HRR
- Heliot Ramos (SF) Higher 0.5 HR
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