3 MLB Props to Back for World Series Game 5: Caminero, Yelich and Turang

Baseball gave us exactly one game on the board tonight, and it happens to be the one everybody is circling. World Series Game 5 sends the Brewers and Rays to Tropicana Field at 8 p.m. ET on FOX, with Milwaukee up 3-1 and a chance to pop champagne on the road. The dome means no weather drama, and a one-game slate means every prop in baseball is sitting on this single table.

Brewers ace Jacob Misiorowski (16-5, 1.80 ERA) is on the bump against a Rays starter who has not been announced, with Tampa Bay weighing Drew Rasmussen on short rest against a bullpen game. Milwaukee is around -142 to -148 on the moneyline with the total at 6.5. We went across the board for three plays: one big-bat RBI, one swing-for-the-fences home run, and one table-setter hit. We’ll tell you where the price is fun and where it’s just right.

Junior Caminero OVER 0.5 RBIs: One Good Leg Is Plenty

Yes, the Rays slugger left Game 4 limping after hurting his left foot in the 12th inning. Yes, he also said “If my foot is broken, I’ll play tomorrow,” and manager Kevin Cash promised he would be in the lineup on “one leg.” Check the lineup card before you bet anything, because if he is scratched this ticket is dead. If he is in there, the price is the story.

Caminero hit 42 home runs and drove in 101 runs while playing all 162 games, and he is the biggest power threat in the Tampa Bay order. Props around +165 to +175 imply roughly a 36 percent chance of him driving someone in, while projection models put it closer to 42 percent, which is where the edge comes from. With the Rays’ starting pitching plan a question mark, the Brewers could see a parade of arms and plenty of traffic on the bases in front of the three-hole.

He has been quiet in this series, which makes him a bounce-back bat at plus money in a must-win game at home. Shop around, since this number has run from about +170 to +195 at different books.

Christian Yelich Anytime Home Run: Captain Crunch at Long Odds

Here’s the lottery ticket, and we like it. Yelich is sitting around +680 to +850 depending on the book, and the contact quality is better than his season line (.235/.315/.378) suggests. Among the 21 hitters on these two teams with at least 10 postseason plate appearances, he ranked first in expected batting average (.374) and fourth in expected slugging (.538) heading into the Series.

He opened the World Series with an RBI triple off Nick Martinez in Game 1, and he went 2-for-3 with an RBI in Game 3’s 10-1 rout. The Rays’ October pitching staff skews right-handed, which favors the lefty bat. Yelich is also known for hitting a lot of fly balls the other way, and Tropicana Field has some of the shallower left-field fences in the league.

A home run is a long shot by definition, so size it like a long shot. A small unit at nearly 7-to-1 on a hitter this locked in is exactly what a World Series night is for.

Brice Turang OVER 0.5 Hits: The Steady One

If the first two picks are the thrill ride, this is the seatbelt. Turang drove in 100 runs with 21 homers this season, and he sparked the Brewers’ 10-1 rout in Game 3, going 3-for-5 with a run and two RBIs. He gets on base at a .367 clip and sits at the top of a lineup that keeps the pressure on.

Hits at 0.5 for Turang is a heavy over at most books, so this one is about volume rather than payoff, and the price can change before first pitch. Against a Rays pitching plan that could be a bullpen parade, a hitter who makes consistent contact gets plenty of looks. Verify the price at your book, since a short number is only worth it if the line stays at 0.5.

Want to find these lines yourself? The player prop search tool lets you compare prices across books before you pull the trigger, and our MLB betting guide walks through how to size plays like these.

Lock These In Before First Pitch

That is three different ways to cash on a night where one baseball game is carrying the whole sport: a plus-money RBI from the home team’s slugger, a Hail Mary homer from the Brewers captain, and a steady hit from their sparkplug second baseman. The Brewers can clinch, the Rays are fighting for their lives, and the props have a little something for everyone. Check your book for the latest numbers and confirm Caminero is in the lineup first.

• Junior Caminero OVER 0.5 RBIs (about +165 to +175)
• Christian Yelich anytime home run (about +680 or better)
• Brice Turang OVER 0.5 hits (check your book for the price)

Bet responsibly, size the long shot small, and enjoy what could be the night a first-time champion gets crowned. If you want to see where the futures market stands, our World Series odds page has it covered.