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Our MLB Best Bet and Underdog 2-Man Play for Tuesday, July 2: We're High on Simeon Woods Richardson!

TopFlightPicks
Written by TopFlightPicks
July 2, 2024
Our MLB Best Bet and Underdog 2-Man Play for Tuesday, July 2

Welcome back baseball fans! What a great month of June our members had, cashing in over 23 units, pushing us over the +100-unit mark for the calendar year of 2024!

Baseball has been going very well for us and I have 2 plays here that I really like today! Let’s cash these and keep stacking positive days!!

Underdog 2-Man Play

Mitch Keller has been great at home this season, cashing in 6 of his 7 games, and hitting 4 straight games! Against the Cardinals he has hit 4 of his last 5 outings against them. For the 2024 season Keller averaged 18.4 outs overall.

Live player props data coming soon for Mitch Keller.

At home Keller holds a 2.36 ERA, is 4-1, and is holding opposing hitters to .216 average. Cardinals have been hitting RHP fairly decent on the season, but he has cashed 18 vs other solid hitting teams, and they usually let him navigate through troubled waters.

Reynaldo Lopez has been a play all season long and that won’t change today. He is at home where he has only allowed 2 earned runs in 1 game and is under this line at home in all 7 games. Overall he is under this line in 13/14 games on the season.

Live player props data coming soon for Reynaldo Lopez.

Lopez faced a Giants team that is not nearly as good vs RHP as they are LHP. Over the last 30 days on the road vs RHP, Giants are ranked 6th lowest average(.212), and 9th lowest wRC+.Lopez holds a 1.11 ERA, while holding opposing hitters to .211 average at home this season.

Live player props data coming soon for Simeon Woods Richardson.

Woods Richardson Looking to Go Deep Today

Simeon Woods Richardson is a newer name to us this season, but he has pitched very well. At home he is holding opposing hitters to a .200 average, only allowing 1 home run in 5 starts, and holds an overall ERA of 3.41. He gets a great matchup today he has already mastered once this season.

At Detroit in April, Richardson went a full 6 innings, only needing 80 pitches. The one question for him is how long do the coaches let him go today, he has an odd pitch count trend and sometimes gets pulled in the mid 80s, without being in any trouble. Today he faces Tigers who are ranked dead last over the last 15 days vs RHP in wRC+ and OB%, and have 5 hitters under .230 vs RHP.

My Best Bets:

UnderDog 2-Man (1.69X)
Mitch Keller (Pit) Higher 17.5 Outs
Reynaldo Lopez (Alt) Lower 2.5 ER

Best Bet: Simeon Woods Richardson (Min) o15.5 Outs (-106)

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