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Juicy MLB Same Game Parlay to Throw a Few Bucks On: Blue Jays vs. Padres July 10

Shane Bieber’s rough return from injury sets up a fun same-game parlay for Friday’s Blue Jays-Padres matchup at Petco Park.

By Wade Reeser Updated July 10, 2026
Manny Machado batting for the San Diego Padres

Padres baseball under the lights at Petco Park, a beat-up Blue Jays road trip, and Manny Machado looking to get back on track — Friday night’s Toronto-San Diego tilt has all the ingredients for a juicy same-game parlay worth throwing a few bucks on.

This one’s got a little bit of everything: a lopsided moneyline, a shaky Blue Jays starter, and a former MVP candidate who’s due. Let’s get into it. New to parlays? Our Same Game Parlays guide breaks down exactly how these work.

Leg 1: San Diego Padres Moneyline

San Diego is at home and favored in this one, and for good reason. Toronto is trotting out Shane Bieber, who has looked nowhere close to his Cy Young form in his return from injury — he’s carrying a brutal 9.00 ERA and a 2.08 WHIP through his first couple starts back, having allowed 20 hits and 6 home runs in just 13 innings. That’s the kind of line that makes betting against him an easy click.

Leg 2: Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases

Machado’s batting average has been rough this year, sitting well below his career norm, but don’t let that scare you off this one. He’s still got 18 home runs and 51 RBI on the season, and his total bases prop has actually been sitting at plus-money odds in the +127 to +150 range recently — that’s real value for a guy with this kind of pop still in his bat. Against a struggling Bieber who’s serving up hard contact all over the yard right now, this feels like the spot for Machado to break out.

Leg 3: Total Runs Over 7.5

With Bieber clearly still finding his rhythm and Toronto’s own pitching staff not exactly inspiring confidence either, this projects as a game where the ball gets put in play hard and often. The total sits right around 7.5, and given the quality of both offenses and the state of Bieber’s stuff right now, betting the over here lines up nicely with the rest of this parlay.

The Full Parlay

Padres win, Machado gets going, and the scoreboard stays busy — that’s the vibe for this one. Bieber’s rough return from injury is the domino that makes the rest of this ticket make sense, and Machado’s still-dangerous power profile is exactly the kind of prop that pays off big when the market undervalues a slow batting average.

  • San Diego Padres Moneyline (check your book for current odds)
  • Manny Machado Over 1.5 Total Bases (check your book for current odds)
  • Total Runs Over 7.5 (check your book for current odds)

Grab this one as a fun few-dollar ticket tonight — all three legs have real juice behind them heading into first pitch. Want to see the potential payout before you bet? Run it through our Payout Calculator first.

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