Dodgers vs. Brewers NLCS Game 1 Same Game Parlay: Chourio, Freeman, and the Under Headline Sunday’s Best Bets

The National League Championship Series doesn’t get bigger than this. For the first time in 50 years, two 100-win teams are squaring off in the LCS, and Game 1 at American Family Field has everything: a reigning champion looking to three-peat, a 103-win Brewers team starving for its first pennant since 1982, and a pitching matchup that would headline any night of the year. Tarik Skubal takes the ball for Los Angeles against Milwaukee’s breakout ace Jacob Misiorowski, and Sunday night’s 8 p.m. ET first pitch is going to feel like a heavyweight title fight from the very first strike.

This is the kind of game where the same game parlay builds itself. With two elite arms on the mound, the number is already squeezed down low, and that opens the door for a parlay that leans on contact over power, a couple of star hitters doing what star hitters do, and the Dodgers getting it done late. Here’s a four-leg SGP worth a look for Game 1.

Leg 1: Jackson Chourio to Record a Hit

Chourio has been must-watch October baseball, and it’s not close. He’s already Milwaukee’s franchise leader in postseason RBI at just 22 years old, and he enters Game 1 hitting .291 with 25 homers, 75 RBI, and 23 steals on the season. Books have him at a heavy -215 to pick up at least one hit on Sunday, and that price reflects exactly what scouts and opposing pitchers have been saying all October — there’s no cooling this kid off right now.

Facing Skubal is obviously a tough draw, but Chourio has shown he doesn’t get rattled by big arms. He’s hitting from the leadoff spot for Milwaukee, which means maximum at-bats and maximum chances to extend that hit streak in front of a jacked-up home crowd at American Family Field.

Leg 2: Freddie Freeman to Record a Hit

Freeman has quietly been one of the most consistent bats for the Dodgers this postseason, hitting .267 with two homers so far in October. He sits second in the lineup behind Mookie Betts, batting .288 with a .362 on-base percentage on the year, and his pitch-recognition skills against a hard-throwing rookie like Misiorowski make him one of the safer bets on the board at -144 for a hit.

Misiorowski brings elite swing-and-miss stuff — 252 strikeouts and a microscopic 1.80 ERA during the regular season — but Freeman’s contact rate and plate discipline have made him one of L.A.’s steadiest performers against power arms all year. Getting on base in front of Will Smith and Shohei Ohtani only raises the stakes.

Leg 3: Under 6 Total Runs

When two of baseball’s best starters share a mound in the same game, the total gets squeezed, and that’s exactly what’s happened here. The game total opened right around 6 and has moved between 6 and 6.5 depending on the book, with juice on the under sitting close to -108 to -140 in some spots. Skubal carries a 1.97 ERA across seven career postseason starts, and Misiorowski led all of MLB in ERA, WHIP, and opponents’ batting average this season. Neither bullpen figures to be shaky behind them, either, with both managers expected to lean on their best relief arms in an elimination-style atmosphere even though it’s just Game 1.

Both lineups have had their stretches of cold streaks this October — Ohtani is hitting just .154 in the playoffs and Will Smith is at .063 — which only adds more weight to the under in a game where contact, not power, figures to decide things.

Leg 4: Dodgers Moneyline

This one is essentially a coin flip on paper, with the Dodgers sitting right around -108 and the Brewers around -112 depending on the sportsbook. But the Dodgers bring a deeper, more battle-tested lineup into Milwaukee, and a pitching staff that doesn’t get appreciably worse after Skubal — Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Blake Snell, and Tyler Glasnow are all lined up behind him. ESPN’s model gives L.A. a slight 51.3% edge, and with most of their core bats (Freeman, Max Muncy, Kyle Tucker) rounding into postseason form, the slight contact advantage over Milwaukee’s lineup feels live.

The Full Parlay

Stacking Chourio to hit, Freeman to hit, the under on total runs, and the Dodgers on the moneyline gives you a parlay built on floor plays rather than moonshots — exactly the right approach when two aces are on the bump. None of these legs require a monster individual performance, just competent, expected production from players who’ve been doing this all season. If you’re looking to get in on Game 1 of the NLCS without betting on a slugfest, this four-leg card gives you real correlation with real value attached.

Check your sportsbook for final odds before placing this card — a quick look at odds converter tools can help if you’re shopping between books — since lines will keep moving as first pitch approaches, especially if there’s any late lineup news on Ohtani or Rojas.