Welcome back MLB fans! We don’t have a great slate to choose from today, as has been the case the last few days, but we always find some angles to play!
Coming off another profitable night with our members, we are looking to stay hot and cash another one with everyone today!
Look, Taillon may not be a young buck, but with age comes experience and years of callusing your nerves. Taillon is one cool cucumber on the road this season, holding a 1.61 walks/9 innings and a 4.2% walk rate.
For the entire season, he holds a 1.71 walks/9 and a 4.6% walk rate. Taillon is on the road this evening against the Cleveland Guardians who walk at the 24th lowest rate all season, and last 15 days to RHP.
Over the last 30 days the Guardians have walked 27th lowest. If you want to dig a little deeper, at home vs RHP, the Guardians are ranked 26th out of 30 total teams, in over 396 plate appearances.
Frankie Montas gets a second crack at this Dodgers lineup tonight when the Brewers host the Dodgers. Frankie has seen this roster once before back in May, where he allowed 3 runs on 4 hits, 3 walks, but only 1 strikeout. Since his trade to Milwaukee he has racked up 5 and 7 strikeouts, but can he find more a second time around?
This Dodgers lineup has been striking out at a top 10 rate over the last 15 days to RHP, top 5 over the last 30, most of those being on the road where the Dodgers find themselves again. Having said that we have seen quickly what the addition of Mookie Betts has meant to this roster. Over the last 8 games, only 1 starting pitcher has found 6 strikeouts against this lineup.
Monta’s current line is set to 4.5 on most books, the beauty of ESPN Sportsbook is they allow for alternate under strikeouts. If Montas can only find 1 strikeout against this lineup with 98 pitches and facing 23 hitters, I do not think he will find 6 tonight. If the Dodgers are hitting and walking, Montas will surely have a tough time reaching 5 tonight.
My Top Parlay:
2-Leg (+105) ESPN
Jameson Taillon (CHC) u1.5 Walks
Frankie Montas (MIL) u5.5 Ks
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TopFlightPicks has several years of experience in the sports betting industry and currently operates their own handicapping business. They're successful in all sports but specializes in UFC and Golf for EatWatchBet. Find them on X @_TopFlightPicks