After a nice little 2-0 sweep, we're now 60-48 on the year. Not too shabby! The Reds bullpen almost caused us to get put on blood pressure medicine, but they somehow held on to beat the Royals in 10 innings. The Mariners beat the Marlins in blowout fashion to ensure we went to bed a winner!
We're excited about today's card so let's get into it. Here are 3 MLB Best Bets for Tuesday, June 13. Let's keep it rolling!
Best Bet: Rockies +1.5 (+105)
Colorado pulled off the big upset last night and we think they're more than capable of doing so again tonight. You have to admire the guts of this Rockies team. They've been decimated by injuries to Charlie Blackmon, CJ Cron, and Kris Bryant, but they've not stopped fighting.
We like the fact that the Rockies are 17-16 this season on the run line when playing on the road. Boston, meanwhile, is only 15-19 against the run line in home games. This plus money price is a no brainer!
Chase Anderson is pitching the best ball of his career right now. Colorado claimed Anderson after Tampa Bay designated him for assignment earlier this year. The veteran righty has an ERA of 2.67 and a hard hit rate of only 31.6%.
Best Bet: Mets First 5 Innings (-155)
The Subway Series is always entertaining, but this one's kind of a bummer with Pete Alonso and Aaron Judge both on the injured list. Nevertheless, there's no love lost between these 2 squads, so it's must-see TV.
We love getting a savvy bulldog veteran like Max Scherzer (3.89 FIP) in this one. His stuff isn't as electric as it used to be, but he still knows how to pitch. We'll gladly take Scherzer over Luis Severino (7.15 FIP), who has had a couple of rough outings in a row.
The Mets have only won 2 of their last 10 but the starting pitching edge is huge in this one. We're recommending the first 5 innings wager though, because of the Mets erratic bullpen. Lay the moderate price with Scherzer!
Best Bet: Twins (-114)
The Brew Crew isn't a bad team, but they've lost 4 in a row. Three of those four losses were to the Oakland Triple A's, so it's our civic duty to fade Milwaukee until they show signs of life. We don't like fading an ace like Corbin Burnes, but we'll explain why we're doing so.
When handicapping baseball, you have to dig into some of the advanced metrics because relying strictly on ERA will get you burned. We like to look at things like FIP, hard-hit rate, and strikeout percentage to get a clearer picture of how a pitcher is actually performing.
Pablo Lopez doesn't have the stellar stuff that Burnes does, but his FIP is lower (3.78 vs 4.21). Lopez's strikeout rate is also better than Burnes's (28.6% vs 23.7%). Those are 2 nice edges in our favor.
We also like that Minny ranks better than Milwaukee in runs scored, batting average, OPS, and homers. Give us the Twinkies at this cheap price!
