3 Best MLB Props on the Board Today: Chourio HR, Beavers Hit, Yamamoto Strikeouts

Wednesday’s MLB slate is stacked, and instead of chasing one prop type, we’re raiding the entire board for the three best plays we can find — a home run shot, a stone-cold lock on a hit, and a strikeout number that might be too low. No boring “stick to your lane” nonsense here. If it’s the best number on the board, it’s going in this article.

We’ve got Jackson Chourio red-hot at Wrigley, Dylan Beavers quietly one of the safest hits in baseball right now, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto walking into about as juicy a strikeout matchup as you’ll see all September. Let’s get into it.

Jackson Chourio to Go Deep at Wrigley (+327 to +390)

Chourio has been an absolute menace over the last week, and the calendar flipping to September hasn’t slowed him down one bit. He’s launched three home runs in his last seven games, including a two-homer, four-hit outburst against the Mets, and he’s carrying a .313 average with a .625 slugging percentage over that stretch. The power has been there basically all year — he’s sitting on 20 homers, 57 RBI, and an .818 OPS through 104 games, and he’s already gone deep twice against the Cubs this season.

The Cubs’ bullpen has been leaky against left-handed power in the second half, and Wrigley in early September can still play plenty fair for a ball that gets elevated. Chourio isn’t a guy who needs a huge park to hit one out — he’s got legitimate juice from the left side, and he’s seeing the ball as well right now as at any point this year. At anywhere from +327 to +390 depending on your book, you’re basically getting paid 3-to-1 or better on a hitter who’s gone deep in nearly half his games over the last two weeks.

Dylan Beavers Gets a Hit at Coors Field (-222)

This is the safest number on the board today, and it’s not particularly close. Beavers, Baltimore’s rookie right fielder wearing No. 12, gets to play his home game of the week at Coors Field, which remains the single friendliest hitting environment in the sport for balls finding grass. The thin air inflates everything — line drives carry further, gaps play bigger, and even bloopers have a way of landing.

Beavers has settled in as a everyday piece of Baltimore’s lineup since his midseason call-up, and the matchup here lines up about as well as it could. Colorado’s rotation has been one of the most hittable in baseball all year, and Tomoyuki Sugano’s strikeout numbers (75 in 121-plus innings) suggest a pitcher who lets hitters put the ball in play — exactly the profile you want against a contact-oriented young bat at altitude. At -222, the implied probability sits around 71%, which tracks with just how often hitters in Colorado’s building find their way to first base. This is a bet-the-number play, not a value play, and that’s fine — sometimes the board hands you a near-lock and you take it.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s Strikeout Prop Looks Underpriced

If there’s one prop on this list built for volume, it’s Yamamoto’s strikeout total against St. Louis. The Dodgers ace has been the model of consistency all season — 153 strikeouts, a 2.56 ERA, and an absurd 0.89 WHIP that ranks among the best marks in the National League. His splitter-curveball combination has given hitters fits from the first inning to the seventh all year, and there’s no reason to expect a dip against a Cardinals lineup that’s a game under .500 and has struggled against premium velocity-and-spin arms on the road.

What makes this one appealing beyond the raw talent is the floor. Yamamoto isn’t a boom-or-bust arm who needs a career night to hit the number — his strikeout rate has been remarkably stable start to start, which is exactly the low-variance profile you want when you’re circling a strikeout prop. Facing a Cardinals club that ranks toward the bottom of the league in chase-and-miss discipline against sweeping breaking balls, there’s a real chance the line set for this game is a step behind where Yamamoto’s actual talent level sits.

Today’s Best of the Board

Three completely different bet types, three completely different reasons to like them — that’s the whole idea behind hunting the board instead of one category. Here’s how we’re stacking Wednesday’s slate:

• Jackson Chourio to hit a home run vs. CHC (+327 to +390)
• Dylan Beavers to record a hit vs. COL (-222)
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto strikeout prop OVER vs. STL (check your book for the current number)

Check the MLB odds board before first pitch since these numbers can move, and if you’re looking to string a few of tonight’s games together, our same game parlay guide is worth a read first.