Skip to content
MLB

3 Best MLB Props for July 8

A longshot home run play, a near-lock under, and a fair-priced total-bases pick — the best of Wednesday’s MLB prop board.

By Wade Reeser Updated July 8, 2026
Nick Kurtz batting for the Oakland Athletics

Fifteen games on Wednesday’s MLB slate means fifteen chances to find an angle, and we went hunting across the entire board for the juiciest plays regardless of category. One power bat with a real shot at a moonshot, one hitter who’s basically allergic to a specific pitcher, and one superstar who should feast on a homer-prone arm — this is the best of what Wednesday has to offer.

Grab a snack and let’s get into it.

Nick Kurtz to Hit a Home Run vs. Detroit

Kurtz has been Oakland’s best power source all year, sitting on 20 home runs with a .977 OPS against right-handed pitching, and he draws Detroit’s Troy Melton on Wednesday. Melton has been a strikeout machine lately, but he’s also been giving up 1.43 home runs per nine innings — exactly the kind of contact quality Kurtz thrives on. Comerica Park suppresses homers slightly, but that’s a minor headwind against a hitter capable of running into one at any moment.

At +265, this is exactly the kind of longshot power play that turns a quiet Wednesday night into a fun one.

Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Hits vs. Chicago White Sox

This one is about as close to a lock as prop betting gets. Duran is 0-for-6 for his career against White Sox starter Davis Martin, posting a .000 OPS in both 2024 and 2025 across those matchups. It’s not a fluke — it’s spanned multiple seasons with the same result every time. Duran’s season line has also cooled to a .201 average, so the recent form lines up with the career trend.

At +128, you’re getting plus-money on a pattern that’s held up perfectly across three plate-appearance samples in back-to-back years.

Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases vs. New York Mets

Witt is running a .462 slugging percentage this season and gets a favorable look at Mets starter Christian Scott, who’s been leaking home runs at a 1.29 per nine rate. Kansas City and New York project as a competitive, moderate-scoring environment, which gives Witt plenty of chances to put multiple balls in play.

Priced at essentially even money (-103), this is a strong number for a hitter with Witt’s power profile against a pitcher who’s shown real vulnerability to hard contact this season.

Lock These In

A moonshot longshot, a near-lock under, and a fair-priced power total-bases play — this trio covers the entire spectrum of what Wednesday’s slate has to offer. Whichever book you use, it’s worth checking a DraftKings Promo Code or FanDuel Promo Code before locking these bets in.

  • Nick Kurtz Anytime Home Run (+265)
  • Jarren Duran Under 0.5 Hits (+128)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-103)

Three completely different bet types, three real edges — that’s what makes Wednesday’s board fun to dig through.

Free · Weekly

The smartest 5 minutes in betting

Get the week's best offers, line moves, and data-driven picks — straight to your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Join 240,000+ subscribers. 21+ only.