3 Best MLB Player Props to Bet on September 3: Devers, Paredes, and Soriano

Wednesday night’s slate is loaded with prop angles, but three stand out above the noise heading into Thursday’s games: a top-9 power bat chasing a long ball at PNC Park, a contact machine in Houston who almost never leaves the yard hitless, and a Blue Jays right-hander who’s quietly been one of the more reliable strikeout arms in baseball all season. None of these require a ton of projection — the numbers already do the talking.

Here’s the case for betting all three with confidence.

Rafael Devers to Go Deep Against the Pirates

Rafael Devers has been one of the most feared power bats in the sport all year, sitting inside the top nine in MLB home runs as the calendar flips to September. That kind of company — Judge, Ohtani-tier neighborhoods — isn’t an accident, and Pittsburgh’s pitching staff hasn’t given anyone a reason to bet against him lately.

Books have Devers’ home run prop sitting in the +360 to +450 range depending on the shop, which is generous pricing for a hitter running this hot. He’s cleared the Runs Over number in 12 of his last 15 games, a stretch that’s produced serious ROI for anyone tailing him, and PNC Park’s dimensions haven’t historically been a launching pad — but Devers doesn’t need a hitter’s park when he’s squaring up the ball like this. If you want a safer version of the same bet, the Over 1.5 total bases number (around +122 to +130) is also in play and hits at a healthy rate on nights when Devers connects at all.

Isaac Paredes’ Bat Control Makes Him a Hits Lock

Isaac Paredes doesn’t hit for a gaudy average, but that’s not really the point of this bet. At .257/.359/.420 with 124 hits in 133 games this season, Paredes puts the bat on the ball at a rate that makes the Over 0.5 Hits prop (-208) about as close to automatic as MLB props get. He’s already racked up 18 home runs and 74 RBI while playing every single day for Houston, and he strikes out far less often than his power numbers might suggest.

The matchup only sweetens things. Luis Castillo has scuffled to the tune of a 4-10 record and a 5.31 ERA, with a bloated 1.44 WHIP that says he’s putting far too many baserunners on for comfort. A pitcher who can’t miss bats or limit contact is exactly the kind of arm Paredes should feast on at Daikin Park. The price isn’t flashy, but -208 for a hitter with this profile against this pitcher is the kind of prop you take to the bank rather than overthink.

José Soriano’s Strikeout Stuff Travels to Cleveland

José Soriano has quietly put together one of the better strikeout seasons among American League starters, racking up 149 strikeouts across 151.1 innings for a Blue Jays club that’s leaned on his 3.45 ERA all year. That works out to right around 8.9 strikeouts per nine, and his season average sits near 5.5 punchouts per start — well clear of the strikeout line books are hanging on him Thursday.

The market has priced Soriano’s Over 4.5 strikeouts around +132, which feels light given how often he’s cleared that number in recent outings. Cleveland’s lineup, opposite a Guardians offense that will counter with Tanner Bibee, doesn’t scare off swing-and-miss command, and Progressive Field hasn’t been a house of horrors for opposing strikeout arms this season. Soriano has the swagger of a No. 40 with something to prove every fifth day, and this line gives him plenty of room to clear it.

Today’s Best Bets on the Board

Put it all together and this is about as clean a three-leg card as you’ll find on a random weekday slate — a proven power bat with elite volume, a professional hitter against a struggling starter, and a strikeout arm being underpriced by the market. Check player prop search tools to shop the best number at your book before locking anything in.

• Rafael Devers OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+360 to +450, book-dependent)
• Isaac Paredes OVER 0.5 Hits (-208)
• José Soriano OVER 4.5 Strikeouts (+132)

None of these bets require a leap of faith — they’re grounded in real season-long production against matchups that play right into each player’s hands.