3 Best MLB Player Props on the Board Today: Rumfield, Sears Under, Burns Over

Sunday’s MLB slate is stacked with day-baseball getaway games, and that means one thing for prop bettors: value is scattered everywhere if you know where to dig. We’re not sticking to one category today — no forcing three strikeout props or three hitter props just to stay tidy. We went out and grabbed the three best plays on the entire board, regardless of type, and they cover just about every flavor of prop there is.

A red-hot rookie riding a scorching September, an under on a shaky rookie arm getting overworked, and one of the National League’s most dominant strikeout artists — all three of these have real numbers behind them, not vibes. Let’s get into it.

TJ Rumfield’s Bat Is Too Hot to Fade Right Now

DraftKings promo code users saw TJ Rumfield 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs at -106 tabbed as the site’s best bet of the day, and after watching what the Rockies rookie first baseman has done this month, it’s hard to argue. Rumfield went 3-for-5 with a double in Saturday’s 11-7 shootout loss to Detroit, and he’s now hitting an absurd .400 with a 1.189 OPS, two homers, seven runs scored, and six RBIs across nine games in September alone.

The 26-year-old finished the year at .298 with 15 home runs and 67 RBIs, but the underlying trend is what matters here — he’s locked in against right-handed pitching and has been a hit machine over his last 10 games, going over the 1.5 hits+runs+RBIs combo line in six of his last 10 outings. This is a series finale get-away game where Colorado’s offense has already shown it can go toe-to-toe with Detroit’s bullpen, and Rumfield has been the straw stirring that drink all month.

Fade the Rookie Arm: Andrew Sears Strikeouts Under 4.5

On the complete opposite end of the spectrum, we like Andrew Sears Strikeouts Under 4.5 in this same COL @ DET game. Sears is a rookie right-hander who has bounced between the rotation and the bullpen for Detroit, and the swing-and-miss just hasn’t been consistently there. Across his first four appearances of the season he’s sitting on a 5.40 ERA with 13 strikeouts over 16.2 innings — good for a 5.84 K/9 — and he’s averaging just 2.67 strikeouts per outing when you account for his shorter relief stints mixed in with starts.

His most recent look came in relief against Colorado on Saturday, where he worked 4.1 innings and allowed seven hits and four runs while piling up only five strikeouts in a start that saw the Rockies tee off. Colorado’s lineup has been scorching lately — see Rumfield above — and a pitcher without consistent bat-missing stuff facing a hot-hitting group that makes contact and puts the ball in play is a tough combination to bet against for a big strikeout total.

Chase Burns Is a Strikeout Machine — Bet the Over

Then there’s the safest bet on the board: Chase Burns strikeouts over as Cincinnati travels to Milwaukee. Burns has been one of the best pitchers in the National League this season, sitting at a 15-3 record with a sparkling 2.73 ERA and 176 strikeouts across 148.1 innings — that’s a 10.68 K/9 that ranks him 8th in the NL in punchouts. His 1.14 WHIP shows this isn’t empty strikeout numbers either; he’s genuinely dominant start to start.

Burns has faced Milwaukee before this season and has been death on right-handed and left-handed hitters alike, generating a chase rate and whiff rate that consistently rank among the National League’s best starters. With a Brewers lineup that has cooled off recently and a strikeout artist like Burns on the mound with a full head of steam in September, betting the over on his strikeout total is about as close to a “trust the numbers” play as you’ll find on today’s slate.

Lock These In

Three different prop types, three different reasons to like them — that’s the beauty of shopping the whole board instead of boxing yourself into one category. If you’re building a card for Sunday, here’s where we’re putting our money.

• TJ Rumfield OVER 2+ Hits + Runs + RBIs (-106)
• Andrew Sears UNDER 4.5 Strikeouts
• Chase Burns OVER Strikeouts

Check your book for the latest lines before locking anything in, but the underlying numbers on all three of these are as strong as you’ll find anywhere on today’s board.