Monday night’s NHL board is a three-course meal, and the best bites are scattered across it: Rangers at Oilers at 8:00 PM ET, Flyers at Canucks at 9:30 PM ET, and Islanders at Sharks at 10:00 PM ET to close the night out. We went hunting for the three props that look tastiest at the price, and we landed on a goal scorer, a point producer, and a defenseman who keeps cashing assist tickets.
All three picks come with real numbers behind them, so this is not a vibes-only card. Lines move, so check your book before you lock anything in, but here is the buffet we are loading up on.
Leon Draisaitl Anytime Goal Scorer: Betting the Man Who Lives Near the Crease
Draisaitl is listed at around -110 to score at any point against the Rangers, with Dimers putting his chance at 46.2%. That is close to a coin flip on paper, but the context tilts it his way. He has found the net in six of his last 10 games and in 12 of his last 20, a clean 60% clip. Across a much longer 182-game sample the rate settles at 51%, which is still better than the roughly 48% the market implies.
The matchup helps too. Edmonton is scoring 4.11 goals per game this season while New York is at 3.06, and the Rangers will be without Igor Shesterkin, who is out for the season after an injury on Oct. 9, so Dylan Garand has been covering the crease. Edmonton is the home favorite at roughly -155, which usually means plenty of looks for its best shooter. If you want a refresher on turning a price like -110 into an implied probability, our guide to how betting odds work covers it.
Travis Konecny Over 0.5 Points: A Quiet Road Warrior in a Soft Spot
The Flyers are on the second night of a back-to-back, which is never ideal, but the opponent is a gift. Vancouver is 3-15-1 on the season and has lost four straight, with Thatcher Demko on injured reserve and Kevin Lankinen sitting at a rough .808 save percentage with a 6.03 goals-against average. Over their last 40 games, the Canucks have allowed 4.25 goals per game at home. That is a lot of pucks finding the back of the net.
Konecny is the Flyers winger best positioned to benefit. Puckwired’s model gives him a 61% chance at 1+ point, based on 0.86 points per game across 85 games, and he tops its list of best player props for this game. Philadelphia is a road favorite at around -135, so if the Flyers are scoring, Konecny is usually involved. A single goal or assist cashes this ticket, which is exactly the kind of low-stress target we like on a long board. Check your book for the current price.
Evan Bouchard Over 0.5 Assists: The Defenseman Who Keeps Picking Up Helpers
Bouchard is not just a defender who occasionally chips in. He has 10 goals and 21 assists on the season, and he has cleared this number in nine of his last 10 games, including all five of his most recent outings. The best price on the over is -156, and the model projection sits near 0.9 assists, which says the number is leaning in the right direction even at a heavier price.
The path to the over runs through Edmonton’s top power play, which runs on Draisaitl and Connor McDavid. When either star scores, there is a decent chance Bouchard has a helper on the play, and he already picked up an assist against Vancouver on Saturday. If you like to stack Oilers legs together, our breakdown of same game parlays explains how correlated props can work, and how they can backfire.
Lock These In: Tonight’s Three-Pick Menu
Here is the card. Edmonton supplies two of the three, because when a home favorite with this much firepower hosts a team missing its starting goalie, the Oilers’ stars are where the value is. Konecny rounds it out as a steadier play against one of the league’s most beatable defenses.
- Leon Draisaitl anytime goal scorer (about -110)
- Travis Konecny OVER 0.5 points (check your book)
- Evan Bouchard OVER 0.5 assists (-156 best price)
Shop around before you bet, because a few cents of difference per leg adds up over a season. Good luck, and enjoy the hockey.
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