What Prediction Markets Are Saying About This Weekend’s Biggest Sports Storylines
From a five-years-in-the-making UFC comeback to a home run race that's already been decided, here's what the prediction markets say to watch this weekend.
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Independent & editorially reviewed Odds & offers updated July 11, 2026
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From a five-years-in-the-making UFC comeback to a home run race that's already been decided, here's what the prediction markets say to watch this weekend.
Brian Quintenz, whose nomination to lead the CFTC was withdrawn by President Trump last year, is now a senior advisor to the prediction market industry's advocacy group.
A federal judge denied Kalshi's request to block New York's gambling enforcement against its sports-event contracts, and the company has already appealed the ruling.
James Harden isn't going anywhere according to the betting markets, but UFC 329 between McGregor and Holloway is shaping up to be the watch party of the summer.
Prospect Markets has partnered with Crypto.com-backed OG Broker to bring CFTC-regulated sports prediction markets to the US, targeting a Q3 2026 launch.
A fan's guide to this week's biggest sports storylines, from McGregor's return to a loaded World Cup quarterfinal slate and a trade drama worth talking about at the watch party.
Planning your watch party for the World Cup, McGregor's comeback fight, or Wimbledon? Here's what Polymarket's money is saying about who wins.
Prediction markets have France well ahead of the World Cup pack, and Thursday's Spain-Austria and Portugal-Croatia matches are must-watch TV either way.
From a five-year UFC comeback to a quietly buried MVP case to a Lakers max deal, here's what prediction markets are saying this week.
DraftKings launched DKeX on June 26, a proprietary CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange that eliminates third-party fees and gives DraftKings control over its entire Predictions product.
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg met with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour about a potential acquisition last year before talks fell apart, with Meta now developing an internal play-money prediction market app called Arena, according to NPR.
An Ingham County Circuit Court judge granted Michigan a temporary restraining order against Kalshi on June 30, prohibiting the prediction market platform from offering sports event contracts in the state.
Ayo Dosunmu's $112M deal with the Timberwolves is dominating prediction market volume at $2M today, while tonight's Mets-Blue Jays game at Rogers Centre is the top MLB market with nearly $400K in volume and even-money odds.
The World Cup, Conor McGregor's five-year comeback, and Ohtani's runs race are all more fun to follow when real-money prediction markets are updating in real time.