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Hawks vs Celtics Prediction: NBA Summer League Odds, Stats and Best Bet

Atlanta and Boston are both unbeaten in Las Vegas Summer League play heading into their Cox Pavilion matchup. Here is our full prediction and best bet.

By Max Gilson Updated July 13, 2026
Zuby Ejiofor grabbing a rebound for the Atlanta Hawks in NBA Summer League

The NBA Summer League circuit rolls on at Cox Pavilion in Las Vegas on Monday night, where the Atlanta Hawks and Boston Celtics meet in a Day 5 showdown between two of the more entertaining rosters on the Vegas side of the bracket. This is Summer League basketball, so both benches are stocked with rookies, two-way hopefuls and recent draft picks rather than household NBA names, but that hasn’t stopped either team from playing some genuinely sharp basketball through their first two games in the desert.

Both squads enter this one unbeaten in Las Vegas play. The Hawks opened with a lopsided 93-66 win over the San Antonio Spurs before grinding out an 83-76 comeback over the Brooklyn Nets. The Celtics, meanwhile, needed overtime to get past Toronto before cruising past Charlotte in their second outing. Neither team has lost a step, and Monday’s matchup at Cox Pavilion carries a bit more juice than a typical Summer League game given the national TV window on Amazon Prime and NBC Sports Boston.

Why the Betting Markets Can’t Separate These Two

Traditional sportsbooks don’t always post full markets for every Summer League game this deep into the Las Vegas slate, but prediction markets have weighed in on this one, and the read is about as even as it gets. Polymarket’s contract on the game has priced Boston and Atlanta close to a coin flip, with the site explicitly noting that both rosters “feature comparable young talent and recent form,” which lines up with what’s actually happened on the floor through two games apiece.

For bettors looking for a number on this game, checking a sportsbook’s Summer League board directly before tip is the move, since lines can shift quickly once rotations and playing time become clearer as the week goes on. Anyone new to reading these markets can lean on a general NBA betting guide for the basics before diving into a Summer League-specific line.

Flemings and Newell Lead a Deep Hawks Group

Atlanta’s Summer League roster is built around this year’s draft class, and No. 8 overall pick Kingston Flemings has been the headline act so far. The Houston product opened with a game-high eight assists against San Antonio and followed that up with nine points, seven rebounds and five assists in the win over Brooklyn, showing the kind of table-setting the Hawks hope translates once he’s ready for a bigger role. Second-year forward Asa Newell has been steady, too, pouring in 15 points and five rebounds in the opener, while rookie big man Zuby Ejiofor has flashed a well-rounded game inside with double-digit scoring and rebounding numbers of his own. North Carolina product Henri Veesaar has given Atlanta a scoring punch off the bench, going for 14 points and six rebounds in just 19 minutes against the Spurs.

Boston Counters With Gonzalez, Mitchell and a Deep Bench

Boston’s group has been just as productive. Second-year guard Hugo Gonzalez, back for his first extended Summer League run after appearing in 74 games as a rookie, nearly notched a triple-double in the overtime win over Toronto with 17 points, 10 rebounds and eight assists, then added 14 points, four rebounds and four assists against Charlotte. Center Amari Williams has been a load on the glass, posting 23 points and 13 rebounds in the Raptors game, while second-round pick Dillon Mitchell exploded for a game-high 24 points, eight rebounds and six steals in the win over the Hornets. Guard John Tonje has provided scoring punch in both games, and first-round pick Chris Cenac Jr. delivered the moment of the week so far, drilling a corner three with 0.8 seconds left to force overtime against Toronto before adding 14 points off the bench.

Both coaching staffs — Amile Jefferson for Boston and Sanjay Lumpkin for Atlanta’s Las Vegas group — have leaned on deep rotations, which is standard for Summer League but means this game could come down to which bench group finds its rhythm first in the fourth quarter, much like both teams’ close finishes so far this week. Fans tracking how these prospects might factor into next season’s outlook can also monitor the NBA champion futures board for how oddsmakers view each franchise heading into the fall.

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Prediction and Best Bet

Both teams have shown they can win close games and blowouts alike, but Boston’s collection of experienced two-way and NBA-adjacent pieces — Gonzalez, Williams and Tonje in particular — gives it a slight edge in a game that could again be tightly contested into the fourth quarter. Atlanta’s playmaking through Flemings keeps this competitive throughout, but Boston’s frontcourt rebounding advantage with Williams should be the difference late.

  • Prediction: Boston Celtics 84, Atlanta Hawks 79
  • Best Bet: Celtics on the moneyline

With both teams unbeaten in Las Vegas and the markets treating this as a true toss-up, the value here is in Boston’s deeper frontcourt production carrying it to a third straight win rather than trying to guess a final margin in a game with this much bench rotation on both sides. Bettors looking to shop this and the rest of the Summer League slate can compare current NBA odds and check offers like a DraftKings promo code or FanDuel promo code before placing anything.

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