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Our College Baseball Best Bet for Friday, March 8: Let's Shoot for 4 Straight Winners!

TopFlightPicks
Written by TopFlightPicks
March 8, 2024
Our College Baseball Best Bet for Friday, March 8

We have been on a roll with our last three articles cashing in for us! Let’s get one more here on an exciting Friday, full of college baseball action!

Best Bet: 2-Leg Parlay(-105) Coastal Carolina ML + DBU ML

For Friday’s pick we are backing two familiar teams that we have wagered on numerous times to start the young season. Our first game takes us to Conway, South Carolina where #18 Costal Carolina (11-2, 11-2 Home) welcomes in Michigan (5-8, 2-2 Away) for a three-game series this weekend.

What Has Us Excited to Back the Chanticleers

Coastal has won 10 straight games and when their bats are scorching hot like this, they are a very tough team to put out. The Chanticleers have scored 10 runs in 6 of their first 13 games, and over the last 5, they have outscored their opponents 50-22, with 13 home runs and 12 doubles.

They go behind their usual Friday starter Riley Eikhoff, who has allowed multiple home runs (3), in each of his last 2 games. The Chanticleers are 3-0 when he pitches, and we expect him to have a performance more like game 1 where he went 6 innings, 0 hits, 0 earned runs, no walks and 3 Ks. His last two outings he has given up at-least 6 hits, 5 runs and 1 walk in each.

Why We are Fading the Wolverines

Michigan is off to a slow start offensively, hitting .235 as a team, while having only one batter hitting above .300, and 3 total above .270. Compare that to Coastal hitting .315 as a team, with one batter hitting .459, and nine other batters hitting over .300, and 10 over .290!

Yes, this team can absolutely rake with the best of them. We do not have a listed starter yet for Michigan, but if pattern holds, we expect Mitch Voit to get the ball here. He has started each of the last 2 Friday games.

Volt has started the season with a 6.00 ERA, going 1-1 with 18 innings pitched, 16 hits, 14 runs, 6 walks, 11 Ks while holding batters to .235 batting average. He has yet to face a potent lineup as Coastal presents, which could spell trouble for Voit and his mates out of the bullpen.

Michigan holds a team ERA of 6.91, while allowing 98 runs on 71 walks and allowing opposing teams to hit .282. In the same number of games, vs tougher competition, Coastal holds team ERA of 3.91, while allowing only 51 runs, 39 walks, amassing 109 strikeouts and holding opposing hitters to .232. We will need Eikhoff to keep the ball in the ballpark today and we like Coastal to get on the scoreboard early and often at home today.

Why We Like the Patriots

Our second game we head to Dallas, Texas, where #17 DBU (11-1, 8-0 Home) hosts San Diego (6-5, 2-4 Away). We have been very high on this DBU team all season and it doesn’t stop today.

They are one of the most potent hitting teams in college baseball, and they get to go behind their ace Ryan Johnson today, where he posted a career high 14 strikeouts against a very solid hitting Arizona Wildcats team. On the season Johnson is 1-0, 3.79 ERA, 2 walks, and 34 Ks in 19 innings of work, just spectacular numbers here.

Team pitching, both teams have similar numbers DBU team ERA of 4.62 compared to 5.05 for San Diego, and the only glaring difference in any of the categories is team strikeouts where DBU has put out 145 batters and San Diego has fanned 119.

Offense Matters Here

The difference will come with the offenses, and DBU continues to come at you hitter after hitter, inning after inning. Of their regular 8 starters, 6 hit over .300 and 1 sits at .429. They have scored 114 runs, blasted 28 home runs, 29 doubles, hold an on-base percentage of .411 and have swiped 24 of 25 stolen bases.

San Diego does have a decent offense, hitting .283, with 3 regular hitters over .300 and 1 at .477. Where they struggle is to get runs across home plate, for a .283 average, they have only tallied 69 runs this year (compared to 114 for DBU). They are not a big hitting ball club, with only 10 home runs, 15 doubles, and an on-base percentage of .371.

They also like to take chances on the base paths but have been far less successful than DBU’s (96% success rate), they have been thrown out 9 times in 24 attempts (62% success rate). When San Diego gets hitters on base vs DBU, they cannot afford to squander chances on the bases. We believe they will have to play a nearly perfect game to beat DBU and for that reason we will back DBU once again here to bring us home a W!

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