Marion Lukes could have a big night on the ground against Western Michigan on Tuesday!
Week 13 of College Football is here, with only 2 weeks left until Conference Championship week! We have big games this week with impacts on both the playoffs and bowl games.
My subscribers are currently up +24 units on a 60% hit rate and 16.5% ROI this season and we are looking to add 1 more tonight! Let's get into it!
Both Teams Should Find Success on the Ground
Western Michigan ranks 27th in rushing yards/game, at 198, while Central Michigan allows the 104th most rushing yards at 182 per contest. On the flip side, Central Michigan ranks 51st in rushing yards/game at 175, while Western ranks 109th, allowing 187.
If both teams can find success running the ball, it should open up things in the passing game, meaning more points. Jaden Nixon, Western Michigan's running back is averaging a whopping 7.1 yards per carry, while his running mates Buckley and Abdus-Salaam, also average over 5.2 yards/carry.
Can Either Defense Make Stops?
Western Michigan definitely has the upper hand on offense, ranking 41st in the country averaging 31.3 points per game, while Central sits 97th at 24 per game. Though Central only averages 24 per game, they have scored 34, 27, and 34 in 3 other games, which shows they are capable against suspect defenses.
Both defenses have shown us all season they are not capable of slowing other teams down. Western sits 117th allowing 34 per game, while Central sits 110th, allowing 32 per game. Other stats correlating to this over tonight are both Red Zone defenses allow 86% or higher conversion rate, while both offenses are converting top 33 in the country at over 89%.
Western has been very good at protecting the QB this season, sitting 55th in sacks allowed and 47th in QB hits, and while Central can get after the QB a bit, I believe Western offensive line can hold their ground, creating holes for the running game, and giving the QB time to work his reads down field
My Best Bet:
Western Michigan/Central Michigan o55.5 (-122) FanDuel
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Top Flight Wagers has several years of experience in the sports betting industry and currently operates their own handicapping business. They're successful in all sports but specializes in UFC and Golf for EatWatchBet. Find them on X @TopFlightWagers
